Football · Russia Premier League · 08/08, 14:30
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · Baltika Kaliningrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Krylia Sovetov1.5
Baltika Kaliningrad0.85
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Baltika Kaliningrad
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
2–1–3
Baltika Kaliningrad
(6 last)
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-0Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-1Krylia Sovetov
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-2Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov2-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Krylia Sovetov2-3Baltika Kaliningrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krylia Sovetov (rating 1504 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Baltika Kaliningrad: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 2–1–3 Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 09/08/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 20/04/24 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 19/09/23 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 27/08/23 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 26/07/23 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Rostov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | Baltika Kaliningrad |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Krylia Sovetov (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krylia Sovetov win (51%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 51%, draw 29%, Baltika Kaliningrad 20%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.5 · Baltika Kaliningrad 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.