Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/07, 23:15
Prediction: The Strongest vs Bolivar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
The Strongest1.8
Bolivar1.46
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Bolivar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Bolivar
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
1–2–3
Bolivar
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1576 · Bolivar 1522
| The Strongest | Draw | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1576 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 1.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.9 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 1–2–3 Bolivar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 America Friendlies | Bolivar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
| 31/01/26 America Friendlies | The Strongest | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 30/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Bolivar |
| 09/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Bolivar |
| 28/08/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Bolivar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
| 22/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Bolivar | 1-2 HT 1-0 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 9 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Strongest | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 0-0 D | 6-0 W |
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Blooming | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/04 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/03 | Real Oruro America Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (45%). Probabilities: The Strongest 45%, draw 25%, Bolivar 31%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
The model expects 3.26 goals (The Strongest 1.8 · Bolivar 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.