Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 31/07, 21:00
Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira
Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Guabira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Universitario De Vinto1.86
Guabira1.82
1X2
Universitario De Vinto
Draw
Guabira
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario De Vinto
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Guabira
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario De Vinto
2–1–3
Guabira
(6 last)
- Universitario De Vinto5-2Guabira
- Guabira2-1Universitario De Vinto
- Guabira3-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-2Guabira
- Guabira2-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto4-2Guabira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1460 · Guabira 1506
| Universitario De Vinto | Draw | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guabira (rating 1460 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Guabira: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario De Vinto | Guabira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 2–1–3 Guabira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/26 America Friendlies | Universitario De Vinto | 5-2 HT 4-2 | Guabira |
| 20/02/26 America Friendlies | Guabira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 03/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 26/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Guabira |
| 30/04/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 28/03/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Guabira |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Blooming | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Potosi | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 14 |
| 10 | Guabira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 14 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 13 | Universitario De Vinto | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 10 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario De Vinto | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| GV San Jose | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Always Ready | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Real Oruro | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Club Aurora | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Bolivar | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nacional Potosi | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guabira (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario De Vinto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 05/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Guabira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 23/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario De Vinto win (38%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 38%, draw 25%, Guabira 37%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.86 · Guabira 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.