Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 02/08, 21:00

Prediction: Real Potosi vs GV San Jose

Team pages: Real Potosi · GV San Jose

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Real Potosi1.93

GV San Jose0.95

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Real Potosi Draw GV San Jose

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Potosi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWDWWL

GV San Jose 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWLDDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1513 · GV San Jose 1476

	Real Potosi	Draw	GV San Jose
Our model	59%	24%	17%
Market	60%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Potosi	GV San Jose
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 1	6.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.10

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.55▲	Bet365 1.55
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.50 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:54 +2’	1.50	4.10	5.50
16:27 +3’	1.55▲	4.10	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	12	5	6	1	20	14	21
5	Blooming	11	4	5	2	17	12	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Guabira	12	4	3	5	19	26	15
9	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
10	Real Oruro	11	4	2	5	22	27	14
11	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	12	4	1	7	20	27	13
12	Independiente Petrolero	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
13	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
14	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
15	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	11	3	1	7	13	23	10
16	Real Tomayapo	12	2	3	7	9	26	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Potosi	GV San Jose
Bolivar	1-2 L	1-2 L
Nacional Potosi	1-1 D	1-1 D
The Strongest	0-0 D	0-0 D
Real Oruro	1-2 L	1-3 L
Oriente Petrolero	0-2 L	1-2 L
Guabira	3-0 W	0-3 L
Real Tomayapo	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Potosi

DWLLDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
12/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
09/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
10/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
01/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
27/04	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
23/04	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	6	7	W
14/04	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	6	D

GV San Jose

LDDLLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
15/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
11/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	5	9	L
08/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-2	15	2	W
09/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
03/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
25/04	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
22/04	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
13/04	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	1	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs GV San Jose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (60%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 60%, draw 23%, GV San Jose 17%.

How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs GV San Jose?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Real Potosi 1.93 · GV San Jose 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs GV San Jose?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.