Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 12/07, 21:00
Prediction: Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Real Potosi1.25
Nacional Potosi1.12
1X2
Real Potosi
Draw
Nacional Potosi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Potosi
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Nacional Potosi
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Potosi
2–4
Nacional Potosi
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1522 · Nacional Potosi 1488
| Real Potosi | Draw | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Potosi | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 1 | 5.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Potosi 2–0–4 Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 America Friendlies | Nacional Potosi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Potosi |
| 01/02/26 America Friendlies | Real Potosi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 26/09/21 Bolivia Apertura | Nacional Potosi | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Real Potosi |
| 02/05/21 Bolivia Apertura | Real Potosi | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nacional Potosi |
| 29/12/20 Bolivia Apertura | Real Potosi | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Nacional Potosi |
| 15/03/20 Bolivia Apertura | Nacional Potosi | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Real Potosi |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 9 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Potosi | Nacional Potosi |
|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| Guabira | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Aurora | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Bolivar | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Potosi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 01/05 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/03 | Independiente Petrolero America Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 16 | 5 | W |
| 06/03 | Independiente Petrolero America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/02 | Bolivar America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 14/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 23/04 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/04 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/03 | The Strongest America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | The Strongest America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (39%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 39%, draw 28%, Nacional Potosi 33%.
How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Real Potosi 1.25 · Nacional Potosi 1.12), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Nacional Potosi?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.