Prediction: Real Oruro vs Universitario De Vinto
Expected goals: 3.37 (Real Oruro 1.92 · Universitario De Vinto 1.45). The model gives 47% home, 25% draw, 28% away. Over 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Real Oruro is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Universitario De Vinto 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro won 4 and Universitario De Vinto 0, with 2 draws.
| Real Oruro | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Oruro (rating 1513 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Real Oruro: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Oruro | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 3 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 4–2–0 Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 America Friendlies | Universitario De Vinto | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Real Oruro |
| 07/03/26 America Friendlies | Real Oruro | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 29/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 03/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real Oruro |
| 22/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Real Oruro |
| 05/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 8 | Universitario De Vinto | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Potosi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Oruro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Oruro | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Club Aurora | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| The Strongest | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Oruro (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | CD Guadalajara Qaqachaca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | FC 22 de Octubre Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
2-2 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Shalon Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Shalon Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 01/05 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 05/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Real Oruro America Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 14 | D |
| 07/03 | Real Oruro America Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Oruro win (47%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 47%, draw 25%, Universitario De Vinto 28%.
How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Real Oruro 1.92 · Universitario De Vinto 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.