Prediction: Real Potosi vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Expected goals: 2.97 (Real Potosi 2.01 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0.96). The model gives 61% home, 22% draw, 17% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Real Potosi sits at 2-3-5 (W-D-L), while Academia de Balompie Boliviano arrives on a 4-0-6 run.

61%1
61% 22% 17%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1468 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1472
Real PotosiDrawAcademia de Balompie Boliviano
Our model61%23%16%
Market61%22%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.97Real Potosi 2.01 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0.96
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real PotosiAcademia de Balompie Boliviano
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.91.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.84.7 / 0.1

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Always Ready 8521 14517
2 The Strongest 7520 12617
3 Club Aurora 8440 14716
4 Bolivar 8422 19914
5 Blooming 8332 141012
6 Independiente Petrolero 7331 111012
7 Guabira 9324 142011
8 Universitario De Vinto 8314 141210
9 Oriente Petrolero 8314 101110
10 Academia de Balompie Boliviano 7304 12179
11 Nacional Potosi 7223 998
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8215 10147
13 Real Potosi 6132 556
14 Real Oruro 6123 10145
15 Real Tomayapo 7124 3165
16 GV San Jose 6024 5112

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal PotosiAcademia de Balompie Boliviano
The Strongest 0-0 D 1-3 L
Real Oruro 1-2 L 1-3 L
Oriente Petrolero 0-2 L 3-1 W
Bolivar 1-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Potosi

LLLWDDWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/05 The Strongest
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 29 D
01/05 Real Oruro
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-2 86 L
27/04 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-2 46 L
23/04 Guabira
Bolivia Primera Division
2-0 3-0 67 W
14/04 Real Tomayapo
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-1 56 D
04/04 Club Aurora
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 56 D
09/03 Independiente Petrolero
America Friendlies
0-1 2-1 165 W
06/03 Independiente Petrolero
America Friendlies
0-0 0-2 74 L
20/02 Bolivar
America Friendlies
0-1 1-3 510 L
14/02 Bolivar
America Friendlies
0-1 1-3 110 L

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

LWLWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/05 Always Ready
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-3 17 L
11/05 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 3-1 94 W
03/05 The Strongest
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-3 02 L
25/04 Blooming
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 3-2 109 W
21/04 Universitario De Vinto
Bolivia Primera Division
0-3 2-5 84 L
11/04 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 0-2 53 L
05/04 GV San Jose
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 2-1 43 W
27/02 Real Oruro
America Friendlies
0-2 1-3 55 L
21/02 Real Oruro
America Friendlies
1-1 2-1 59 W
04/02 Always Ready
Bolivia Copa Division Profesional
0-4 2-5 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (61%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 61%, draw 22%, Academia de Balompie Boliviano 17%.

How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Real Potosi 2.01 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.