Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 01/08, 21:00
Prediction: Real Oruro vs Independiente Petrolero
Team pages: Real Oruro · Independiente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.19Total
Real Oruro2.61
Independiente Petrolero1.59
1X2
Real Oruro
Draw
Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Oruro
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Independiente Petrolero
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Oruro
0–1–1
Independiente Petrolero
(2 last)
- Real Oruro3-4Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero0-0Real Oruro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1446 · Independiente Petrolero 1432
| Real Oruro | Draw | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Oruro | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.7 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 0–1–1 Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 12/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Oruro |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Blooming | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Potosi | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 14 |
| 10 | Guabira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 14 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 13 | Universitario De Vinto | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 10 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 8 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | EM Huanuni Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 09/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | CD Guadalajara Qaqachaca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | FC 22 de Octubre Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
2-2 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 13/07 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs Independiente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Oruro win (58%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 58%, draw 21%, Independiente Petrolero 21%.
How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model expects 4.19 goals (Real Oruro 2.61 · Independiente Petrolero 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.