Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 31/07, 23:30

Prediction: The Strongest vs Club Aurora

Team pages: The Strongest · Club Aurora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

The Strongest2.26

Club Aurora0.87

1X2

68% 19% 13%

The Strongest Draw Club Aurora

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

The Strongest 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWDWDD

Club Aurora 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWLDW

Head-to-head

The Strongest 2–2–2 Club Aurora (6 last)

Club Aurora1-2The Strongest
The Strongest2-2Club Aurora
Club Aurora2-1The Strongest
The Strongest3-2Club Aurora
Club Aurora1-0The Strongest
The Strongest1-1Club Aurora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Strongest 1559 · Club Aurora 1538

	The Strongest	Draw	Club Aurora
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	The Strongest	Club Aurora
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	1.6 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.7	5.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:37 +2’	1.33	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 2–2–2 Club Aurora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Club Aurora	1-2 HT 1-2	The Strongest
13/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	2-2 HT 0-1	Club Aurora
14/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	2-1 HT 2-0	The Strongest
18/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	3-2 HT 0-1	Club Aurora
25/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Club Aurora	1-0 HT 0-0	The Strongest
27/07/24 Bolivia Clausura	The Strongest	1-1 HT 1-1	Club Aurora

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	11	6	5	0	16	9	23
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	11	5	5	1	19	13	20
5	Blooming	11	4	5	2	17	12	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
9	Real Oruro	11	4	2	5	22	27	14
10	Guabira	11	4	2	5	18	25	14
11	Independiente Petrolero	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	11	4	0	7	19	26	12
13	Universitario De Vinto	11	3	1	7	16	22	10
14	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
15	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	11	3	1	7	13	23	10
16	Real Tomayapo	11	2	2	7	8	25	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Strongest	Club Aurora
GV San Jose	0-0 D	1-1 D
Oriente Petrolero	2-1 W	2-2 D
Always Ready	1-0 W	1-1 D
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	3-1 W	3-2 W
Real Oruro	3-2 W	1-1 D
Real Tomayapo	0-0 D	2-0 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: The Strongest (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Strongest

WDWWDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
16/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	8	7	W
12/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
14/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/05	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
03/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
26/04	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
24/04	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
12/04	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-2	5	5	W

Club Aurora

DDWWDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	3	10	W
19/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
10/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
02/06	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
16/05	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	4-2	4	7	W
28/04	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/04	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	9	D
12/04	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	8	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Club Aurora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (68%). Probabilities: The Strongest 68%, draw 19%, Club Aurora 13%.

How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Club Aurora?

The model expects 3.13 goals (The Strongest 2.26 · Club Aurora 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Club Aurora?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.