Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 11/07, 21:00
Prediction: Real Oruro vs GV San Jose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Real Oruro1.87
GV San Jose1.55
1X2
Real Oruro
Draw
GV San Jose
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Oruro
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
GV San Jose
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Oruro
2–4–0
GV San Jose
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Oruro 1522 · GV San Jose 1464
| Real Oruro | Draw | GV San Jose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Oruro (rating 1522 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Real Oruro: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Oruro | GV San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 1.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Oruro 2–4–0 GV San Jose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 America Friendlies | Real Oruro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
| 08/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | GV San Jose | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Real Oruro |
| 01/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
| 31/08/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 4-1 HT 2-1 | GV San Jose |
| 25/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | GV San Jose | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Oruro |
| 14/10/23 Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar | Real Oruro | 2-1 HT 0-0 | GV San Jose |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 9 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | CD Guadalajara Qaqachaca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | FC 22 de Octubre Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
2-2 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Shalon Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Shalon Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 01/05 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
GV San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 22/04 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 13/04 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 05/04 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Blooming America Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/03 | Club Aurora America Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Oruro vs GV San Jose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Oruro win (44%). Probabilities: Real Oruro 44%, draw 25%, GV San Jose 31%.
How many goals are expected in Real Oruro vs GV San Jose?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Real Oruro 1.87 · GV San Jose 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Oruro vs GV San Jose?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.