Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 13/07, 01:30
Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Real Tomayapo1.74
Independiente Petrolero1.41
1X2
Real Tomayapo
Draw
Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Tomayapo
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Independiente Petrolero
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Tomayapo
1–1–4
Independiente Petrolero
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1402 · Independiente Petrolero 1478
| Real Tomayapo | Draw | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Petrolero (rating 1402 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Independiente Petrolero: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.7 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 1–1–4 Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 America Friendlies | Independiente Petrolero | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 05/02/26 America Friendlies | Real Tomayapo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 30/01/26 America Friendlies | Real Tomayapo | 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 30/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Tomayapo | 3-6 HT 0-2 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 01/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Independiente Petrolero | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 27/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Real Tomayapo |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 9 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bolivar | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Always Ready | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Tomayapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | Oriente Petrolero America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/02 | Oriente Petrolero America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 16/04 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tomayapo win (45%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 45%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 30%.
How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Real Tomayapo 1.74 · Independiente Petrolero 1.41), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.