Football · Hungary NB I · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Ujpest vs MTK Budapest

Team pages: Ujpest · MTK Budapest

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Ujpest2.21
MTK Budapest1.63
1X2
49% 24% 27%
Ujpest Draw MTK Budapest
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ujpest 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWDDWLWW
MTK Budapest 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWDWDL
Head-to-head
Ujpest 2–1–3 MTK Budapest (6 last)
  • Ujpest2-2MTK Budapest
  • MTK Budapest3-4Ujpest
  • Ujpest1-2MTK Budapest
  • MTK Budapest1-3Ujpest
  • Ujpest1-5MTK Budapest
  • MTK Budapest4-1Ujpest
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest 1512 · MTK Budapest 1475
UjpestDrawMTK Budapest
Our model50%22%28%
Market49%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MTK Budapest: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UjpestMTK Budapest
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.62.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.22.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 02.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest 213 MTK Budapest

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Hungary NB I
Ujpest2-2
HT 1-1
MTK Budapest
13/12/25
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest3-4
HT 1-1
Ujpest
30/08/25
Hungary NB I
Ujpest1-2
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
24/05/25
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest1-3
HT 1-2
Ujpest
01/03/25
Hungary NB I
Ujpest1-5
HT 0-1
MTK Budapest
26/10/24
Hungary NB I
MTK Budapest4-1
HT 1-1
Ujpest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ujpest 3201 966
2 Puskas Academy 3201 546
3 Vasas SC 3120 725
4 Gyori ETO 2110 624
5 MTK Budapest 3111 864
6 Kisvarda FC 3111 554
7 Paksi 3111 894
8 Debreceni VSC 3102 363
9 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3102 263
10 Zalaegerszegi TE 3102 5103
11 Kispest Honved 3030 663
12 Ferencvarosi TC 2011 241

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest

LLLWDDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
2-1 4-2 42 W
02/08 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
2-1 4-2 66 W
24/07 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
1-0 1-2 32 L
18/07 Radnik Bijeljina
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 31 W
04/07 Hartberg
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 23 D
27/06 Universitatea Cluj
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 57 D
20/06 Cegledi VSE
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 161 W
16/05 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
0-2 1-2 67 L
03/05 Ferencvarosi TC
Hungary NB I
0-2 0-5 35 L
25/04 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
0-1 0-2 42 L

MTK Budapest

WLLLLWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
0-2 2-3 86 L
01/08 Kispest Honved
Hungary NB I
1-2 3-3 34 D
27/07 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
1-0 3-0 12 W
18/07 KFC Komarno
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Kozarmisleny SE
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-0 40 W
11/07 FC Koper
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-3 22 L
11/07 LNZ Lebedyn
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-4 72 L
08/07 NK Celje
Club Friendly List
1-1 3-4 10 L
04/07 Kecskemeti TE
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-3 L
01/07 Vasas SC
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest win (49%). Probabilities: Ujpest 49%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 27%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Ujpest 2.21 · MTK Budapest 1.63), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.