Football · Hungary NB I · 31/10, 17:45

Prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest

Team pages: Zalaegerszegi TE · MTK Budapest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Zalaegerszegi TE1.71

MTK Budapest1.51

1X2

41% 25% 33%

Zalaegerszegi TE Draw MTK Budapest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLD

MTK Budapest 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Zalaegerszegi TE 0–3–3 MTK Budapest (6 last)

MTK Budapest3-0Zalaegerszegi TE
MTK Budapest3-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-1MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest1-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-1MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest1-1Zalaegerszegi TE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zalaegerszegi TE 1485 · MTK Budapest 1515

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Draw	MTK Budapest
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	41%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Budapest: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zalaegerszegi TE	MTK Budapest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.28
X	3.40 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.80 ★
2	2.55 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.77

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +2’	2.45	3.40	2.55
12:43 +7’	2.20▼	3.60▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:45 +3’	2.29	3.75	2.76
22:56	2.27▼	3.82▲	2.74▼
23:26 +3’	2.28▲	3.80▼	2.75▲
00:06 +7’	2.28	3.78▼	2.75
19:33 +1’	2.28	3.80▲	2.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalaegerszegi TE 0–3–3 MTK Budapest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	3-0 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
11/04/26 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	3-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
20/12/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 0-1	MTK Budapest
21/09/25 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
08/03/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 1-0	MTK Budapest
02/11/24 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-1 HT 0-1	Zalaegerszegi TE

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	11	7	0	4	16	12	21
2	Gyori ETO	11	6	3	2	19	12	21
3	Paksi	11	5	2	4	22	19	17
4	Ferencvarosi TC	10	4	5	1	18	10	17
5	Debreceni VSC	11	4	4	3	18	16	16
6	Vasas SC	11	4	3	4	18	15	15
7	Ujpest	11	4	3	4	18	16	15
8	MTK Budapest	11	3	3	5	16	22	12
9	Kisvarda FC	11	2	6	3	12	13	12
10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	11	3	2	6	12	21	11
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	11	3	1	7	13	22	10
12	Kispest Honved	10	2	4	4	13	17	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalaegerszegi TE	MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Debreceni VSC	0-3 L	2-2 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	5-1 W	2-1 W
Ujpest	1-2 L	1-1 D
Puskas Academy	1-0 W	2-3 L
Kispest Honved	0-1 L	3-3 D
Gyori ETO	0-3 L	1-2 L
Ferencvarosi TC	0-1 L	0-5 L
Vasas SC	0-5 L	1-0 W
Paksi	5-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 3 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zalaegerszegi TE

WLLLLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/10	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
11/10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	5-1	3	6	W
20/09	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
29/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
17/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
03/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-2	5-2	3	6	W

MTK Budapest

DLDWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
16/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
20/09	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
05/09	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
28/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
22/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
07/08	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
01/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	1-2	3-3	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zalaegerszegi TE win (41%). Probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 41%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest 33%.

How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Zalaegerszegi TE 1.71 · MTK Budapest 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.