Football · Hungary NB I · 08/11, 15:30

Prediction: Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest

Team pages: Debreceni VSC · Ujpest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Debreceni VSC1.71

Ujpest1.5

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Debreceni VSC Draw Ujpest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni VSC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLDWWW

Ujpest 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWDLLW

Head-to-head

Debreceni VSC 2–4 Ujpest (6 last)

Ujpest4-2Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC2-1Ujpest
Ujpest2-1Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC5-2Ujpest
Ujpest2-1Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC1-2Ujpest

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni VSC 1573 · Ujpest 1537

	Debreceni VSC	Draw	Ujpest
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ujpest: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni VSC	Ujpest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.6	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.33 ★
X	3.50 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.88

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 4.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +8’	2.20	3.50	2.70
15:07 +8’	2.25▲	3.70▲	2.80▲
21:00 +2’	2.20▼	3.75▲	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:00 +24’	2.39	3.74	2.67
14:02 +19’	2.29▼	3.74	2.79▲
16:16 +16’	2.31▲	3.68▼	2.81▲
15:07 +8’	2.31	3.69▲	2.81
17:33 +44’	2.29▼	3.69	2.83▲
12:36 +23’	2.29	3.70▲	2.83
16:34 +42’	2.31▲	3.74▲	2.86▲
03:31 +42’	2.32▲	3.77▲	2.87▲
08:11 +64’	2.33▲	3.73▼	2.88▲
09:58 +11’	2.33	3.72▼	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni VSC 2–0–4 Ujpest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	4-2 HT 2-1	Debreceni VSC
16/05/26 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	2-1 HT 2-0	Ujpest
13/02/26 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-1 HT 1-0	Debreceni VSC
26/10/25 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	5-2 HT 3-0	Ujpest
13/04/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-1 HT 0-0	Debreceni VSC
08/12/24 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	1-2 HT 0-1	Ujpest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	8	0	5	18	15	24
2	Gyori ETO	12	6	4	2	21	14	22
3	Paksi	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
4	Ferencvarosi TC	11	5	5	1	20	10	20
5	Debreceni VSC	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
6	Ujpest	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
7	Vasas SC	12	4	4	4	20	17	16
8	Kispest Honved	12	3	5	4	16	19	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	4	1	8	17	24	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	3	4	6	18	27	13
11	Kisvarda FC	13	2	6	5	12	15	12
12	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	12	3	2	7	13	23	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni VSC	Ujpest
Puskas Academy	3-1 W	0-1 L
Kispest Honved	2-0 W	1-1 D
Zalaegerszegi TE	3-0 W	2-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Vasas SC	2-4 L	3-1 W
Paksi	4-2 W	0-2 L
MTK Budapest	2-2 D	1-1 D
Kisvarda FC	0-0 D	4-2 W
Gyori ETO	1-1 D	0-1 L
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Debreceni VSC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Debreceni VSC

WDDDWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-1	3-1	8	9	W
24/10	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
18/10	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
10/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
19/09	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	2-1	2-4	4	10	L
05/09	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-1	4-2	7	2	W
28/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-2	2-2	15	6	D
23/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
16/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
09/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Ujpest

WDLWDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
24/10	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
17/10	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
11/10	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	13	5	D
20/09	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-2	2-2	1	4	D
29/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
21/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	2-1	4-2	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni VSC win (42%). Probabilities: Debreceni VSC 42%, draw 25%, Ujpest 33%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Debreceni VSC 1.71 · Ujpest 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.