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Football · Hungary NB I · 08/11, 19:00

Prediction: Vasas SC vs Ferencvarosi TC

Team pages: Vasas SC · Ferencvarosi TC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Vasas SC1.03
Ferencvarosi TC1.85
1X2
20% 24% 56%
Vasas SC Draw Ferencvarosi TC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Vasas SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWDLLD
Ferencvarosi TC 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWDDDDWW
Head-to-head
Vasas SC 0–3–3 Ferencvarosi TC (6 last)
  • Ferencvarosi TC0-0Vasas SC
  • Vasas SC0-1Ferencvarosi TC
  • Ferencvarosi TC0-0Vasas SC
  • Vasas SC0-1Ferencvarosi TC
  • Vasas SC0-2Ferencvarosi TC
  • Ferencvarosi TC1-1Vasas SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC 1528 · Ferencvarosi TC 1634
Vasas SCDrawFerencvarosi TC
Our model20%25%56%
Market21%23%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (rating 1528 vs 1634).
  • H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vasas SCFerencvarosi TC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.83.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.43.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC 0–3–3 Ferencvarosi TC

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/08/26
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC0-0
HT 0-0
Vasas SC
22/04/23
Hungary NB I
Vasas SC0-1
HT 0-0
Ferencvarosi TC
28/01/23
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC0-0
HT 0-0
Vasas SC
31/08/22
Hungary NB I
Vasas SC0-1
HT 0-1
Ferencvarosi TC
09/02/22
Hungary Cup
Vasas SC0-2
HT 0-1
Ferencvarosi TC
12/05/18
Hungary NB I
Ferencvarosi TC1-1
HT 0-0
Vasas SC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Puskas Academy 13805 181524
2 Gyori ETO 12642 211422
3 Paksi 13625 242220
4 Ferencvarosi TC 11551 201020
5 Debreceni VSC 12543 211719
6 Ujpest 12534 201718
7 Vasas SC 12444 201716
8 Kispest Honved 12354 161914
9 Zalaegerszegi TE 13418 172413
10 MTK Budapest 13346 182713
11 Kisvarda FC 13265 121512
12 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 12327 132311

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVasas SCFerencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO 2-2 D 3-0 W
Paksi 0-2 L 2-0 W
MTK Budapest 0-1 L 5-0 W
Kisvarda FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Debreceni VSC 4-2 W 1-1 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 W 1-1 D
Ujpest 1-3 L 2-2 D
Puskas Academy 0-1 L 2-1 W
Zalaegerszegi TE 5-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 4 L 5 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC

WWLLWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
 1-0 2-2 48 D
25/10 Paksi
Hungary NB I
 0-0 0-2 56 L
16/10 MTK Budapest
Hungary NB I
 0-1 0-1 55 L
10/10 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-1 82 D
19/09 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 1-2 4-2 310 W
04/09 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
 2-1 3-2 710 W
29/08 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-3 13 L
22/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
 0-0 0-1 33 L
14/08 Kispest Honved
Hungary NB I
 0-1 2-1 48 W
08/08 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 2-0 5-0 84 W

Ferencvarosi TC

DWWWDDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Paksi
Hungary NB I
 0-0 2-0 102 W
25/10 MTK Budapest
Hungary NB I
 3-0 5-0 94 W
18/10 Kisvarda FC
Hungary NB I
 0-1 1-1 122 D
10/10 Debreceni VSC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 1-1 14 D
20/09 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Hungary NB I
 0-1 1-1 76 D
06/09 Ujpest
Hungary NB I
 2-1 2-2 54 D
03/09 Gyori ETO
Hungary NB I
 1-0 3-0 93 W
30/08 Puskas Academy
Hungary NB I
 0-0 2-1 55 W
17/08 Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungary NB I
 1-0 1-0 14 W
02/08 Vasas SC
Hungary NB I
 0-0 0-0 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC vs Ferencvarosi TC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC win (56%). Probabilities: Vasas SC 20%, draw 24%, Ferencvarosi TC 56%.

How many goals are expected in Vasas SC vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Vasas SC 1.03 · Ferencvarosi TC 1.85), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasas SC vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.