Football · Hungary NB I · 07/11, 16:45

Prediction: MTK Budapest vs Kispest Honved

Team pages: MTK Budapest · Kispest Honved

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

MTK Budapest1.72

Kispest Honved1.4

1X2

44% 26% 30%

MTK Budapest Draw Kispest Honved

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Budapest 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLWLL

Kispest Honved 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

MTK Budapest 3–2–1 Kispest Honved (6 last)

Kispest Honved3-3MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest4-3Kispest Honved
MTK Budapest1-1Kispest Honved
MTK Budapest1-0Kispest Honved
Kispest Honved3-0MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest1-0Kispest Honved

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Budapest: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Budapest	Kispest Honved
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.86

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.07 → 2.22▲	Pinn 2.22
X	3.59 → 3.49▼	Pinn 3.49
2	3.34 → 3.09▼	Pinn 3.09

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:40 +49’	2.07	3.59	3.34
08:01 +25’	2.22▲	3.49▼	3.09▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Budapest 3–2–1 Kispest Honved

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Hungary NB I	Kispest Honved	3-3 HT 2-1	MTK Budapest
13/07/24 Europe Friendlies	MTK Budapest	4-3 HT 1-2	Kispest Honved
24/01/24 Club Friendly List	MTK Budapest	1-1 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved
12/03/22 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-0 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved
21/11/21 Hungary NB I	Kispest Honved	3-0 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest
07/08/21 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	1-0 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyori ETO	12	6	4	2	21	14	22
2	Puskas Academy	12	7	0	5	17	15	21
3	Ferencvarosi TC	11	5	5	1	20	10	20
4	Debreceni VSC	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
5	Ujpest	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
6	Paksi	12	5	2	5	22	21	17
7	Vasas SC	12	4	4	4	20	17	16
8	Zalaegerszegi TE	12	4	1	7	16	22	13
9	Kispest Honved	11	3	4	4	14	17	13
10	MTK Budapest	12	3	3	6	16	25	12
11	Kisvarda FC	12	2	6	4	12	14	12
12	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	12	3	2	7	13	23	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Budapest	Kispest Honved
Zalaegerszegi TE	0-3 L	1-0 W
Vasas SC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Paksi	0-3 L	2-2 D
Gyori ETO	1-2 L	2-3 L
Kisvarda FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Debreceni VSC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2-1 W	1-0 W
Ujpest	1-1 D	1-1 D
Puskas Academy	2-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTK Budapest

LDWDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
25/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
16/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
20/09	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
05/09	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
28/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
22/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
07/08	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-2	2-3	8	6	L

Kispest Honved

DDLWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
24/10	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
17/10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
11/10	Ujpest Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	0	5	D
18/09	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
06/09	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-0	2-3	6	6	L
29/08	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
14/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	1	8	L
09/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
01/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	2-1	3-3	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Budapest vs Kispest Honved?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Budapest win (44%). Probabilities: MTK Budapest 44%, draw 26%, Kispest Honved 30%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest vs Kispest Honved?

The model expects 3.11 goals (MTK Budapest 1.72 · Kispest Honved 1.4), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest vs Kispest Honved?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.