Football · Hungary NB I · 07/11, 13:30

Prediction: Paksi vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Team pages: Paksi · Zalaegerszegi TE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Paksi1.91

Zalaegerszegi TE1.16

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Paksi Draw Zalaegerszegi TE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Paksi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWWLWL

Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Paksi 1–3–2 Zalaegerszegi TE (6 last)

Zalaegerszegi TE5-2Paksi
Paksi1-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-0Paksi
Paksi2-2Zalaegerszegi TE
Paksi2-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE1-1Paksi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paksi 1526 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1524

	Paksi	Draw	Zalaegerszegi TE
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zalaegerszegi TE: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paksi	Zalaegerszegi TE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.5	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.85 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.95
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +7’	1.65	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:12	1.84	3.90	3.63
18:04 +10’	1.85▲	3.95▲	3.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paksi 1–3–2 Zalaegerszegi TE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	5-2 HT 3-2	Paksi
14/03/26 Hungary NB I	Paksi	1-1 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
29/11/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-0 HT 0-0	Paksi
17/08/25 Hungary NB I	Paksi	2-2 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
22/04/25 Hungary Cup	Paksi	2-1 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
29/03/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	1-1 HT 0-1	Paksi

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyori ETO	12	6	4	2	21	14	22
2	Puskas Academy	12	7	0	5	17	15	21
3	Ferencvarosi TC	11	5	5	1	20	10	20
4	Debreceni VSC	12	5	4	3	21	17	19
5	Ujpest	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
6	Paksi	12	5	2	5	22	21	17
7	Vasas SC	12	4	4	4	20	17	16
8	Zalaegerszegi TE	12	4	1	7	16	22	13
9	Kispest Honved	11	3	4	4	14	17	13
10	MTK Budapest	12	3	3	6	16	25	12
11	Kisvarda FC	12	2	6	4	12	14	12
12	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	12	3	2	7	13	23	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paksi	Zalaegerszegi TE
Ferencvarosi TC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Vasas SC	2-0 W	0-5 L
Gyori ETO	1-2 L	0-3 L
MTK Budapest	3-0 W	3-0 W
Kisvarda FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Debreceni VSC	2-4 L	0-3 L
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-1 D	5-1 W
Ujpest	2-0 W	1-2 L
Puskas Academy	2-3 L	1-0 W
Kispest Honved	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Paksi (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paksi

DLWDLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
25/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-0	9	6	W
17/10	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-2	1-2	8	5	L
10/10	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
19/09	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	9	1	W
05/09	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-3	2-4	8	2	L
29/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
21/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
16/08	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	2-3	7	2	L
09/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	4	3	D

Zalaegerszegi TE

LLLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	3-0	5	4	W
24/10	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
18/10	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
11/10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	5-1	3	6	W
20/09	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
29/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
17/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paksi vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paksi win (54%). Probabilities: Paksi 54%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 22%.

How many goals are expected in Paksi vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Paksi 1.91 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paksi vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.