Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 26/09, 15:30
Prediction: STK Samorin vs MFK Zvolen
Team pages: STK Samorin · MFK Zvolen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
STK Samorin2.11
MFK Zvolen0.99
1X2
STK Samorin
Draw
MFK Zvolen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
STK Samorin
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
MFK Zvolen
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
STK Samorin
4–2
MFK Zvolen
(6 last)
- STK Samorin3-1MFK Zvolen
- MFK Zvolen1-3STK Samorin
- MFK Zvolen1-0STK Samorin
- STK Samorin3-1MFK Zvolen
- STK Samorin3-0MFK Zvolen
- MFK Zvolen1-0STK Samorin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · STK Samorin 1627 · MFK Zvolen 1449
| STK Samorin | Draw | MFK Zvolen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1627 vs 1449).
- H2H favours STK Samorin: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| STK Samorin | MFK Zvolen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 6.3 | 3.7 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · STK Samorin 4–0–2 MFK Zvolen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 3-1 HT 1-1 | MFK Zvolen |
| 01/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | MFK Zvolen | 1-3 HT 0-2 | STK Samorin |
| 11/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | MFK Zvolen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | STK Samorin |
| 22/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 3-1 HT 1-1 | MFK Zvolen |
| 05/05/18 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 3-0 HT 1-0 | MFK Zvolen |
| 21/10/17 Slovakia 2. Liga | MFK Zvolen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | STK Samorin |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Petrzalka | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | STK Samorin | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | MSK Zilina B | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | FK Pohronie | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 6 | OFK Banik Lehota | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | FC Tatran Presov | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Slovan Galanta | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Inter Bratislava | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | OFK Malzenice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 13 | Slovan Bratislava B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Humenne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 15 | MFK Bytca | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 6 |
| 16 | MFK Zvolen | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | STK Samorin | MFK Zvolen |
|---|---|---|
| FC Tatran Presov | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Slovan Galanta | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Humenne | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| OFK Malzenice | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
STK Samorin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
MFK Zvolen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in STK Samorin vs MFK Zvolen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a STK Samorin win (62%). Probabilities: STK Samorin 62%, draw 22%, MFK Zvolen 16%.
How many goals are expected in STK Samorin vs MFK Zvolen?
The model expects 3.1 goals (STK Samorin 2.11 · MFK Zvolen 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in STK Samorin vs MFK Zvolen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.