Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie
Team pages: FK Humenne · FK Pohronie
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
FK Humenne1.25
FK Pohronie1.34
1X2
FK Humenne
Draw
FK Pohronie
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Humenne
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FK Pohronie
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Humenne
4–2–0
FK Pohronie
(6 last)
- FK Humenne2-0FK Pohronie
- FK Pohronie1-1FK Humenne
- FK Humenne1-0FK Pohronie
- FK Pohronie1-2FK Humenne
- FK Humenne1-0FK Pohronie
- FK Pohronie1-1FK Humenne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Humenne 1474 · FK Pohronie 1542
| FK Humenne | Draw | FK Pohronie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pohronie (rating 1474 vs 1542).
- H2H favours FK Humenne: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Humenne | FK Pohronie | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Humenne 4–2–0 FK Pohronie
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 Slovakia Cup | FK Humenne | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Pohronie |
| 02/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Pohronie | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Humenne |
| 19/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Humenne | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Pohronie |
| 01/03/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Pohronie | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Humenne |
| 12/08/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Humenne | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Pohronie |
| 03/03/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Pohronie | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Humenne |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Petrzalka | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | STK Samorin | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | MSK Zilina B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Slovan Galanta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Pohronie | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Tatran Presov | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | OFK Banik Lehota | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | OFK Malzenice | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Slovan Bratislava B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | FK Humenne | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | MFK Bytca | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 6 |
| 16 | MFK Zvolen | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Humenne | FK Pohronie |
|---|---|---|
| MSK Zilina B | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Inter Bratislava | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Petrzalka | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| OFK Banik Lehota | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| MFK Zvolen | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Tatran Presov | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Pohronie (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Humenne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 12/09 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/08 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
FK Pohronie
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Pohronie win (38%). Probabilities: FK Humenne 34%, draw 27%, FK Pohronie 38%.
How many goals are expected in FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie?
The model expects 2.59 goals (FK Humenne 1.25 · FK Pohronie 1.34), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.