Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 05/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs STK Samorin

Team pages: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas · STK Samorin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.34

STK Samorin1.37

1X2

36% 27% 37%

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Draw STK Samorin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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STK Samorin 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 3–2–1 STK Samorin (6 last)

STK Samorin1-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas2-1STK Samorin
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas3-1STK Samorin
STK Samorin1-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas2-1STK Samorin
STK Samorin3-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1548 · STK Samorin 1609

	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	Draw	STK Samorin
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1548 vs 1609).
H2H favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	STK Samorin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.3	4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +6’	2.50	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 3–2–1 STK Samorin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
04/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-1 HT 1-0	STK Samorin
09/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	3-1 HT 1-0	STK Samorin
28/07/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
07/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-1 HT 1-0	STK Samorin
17/09/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	10	9	0	1	20	6	27
2	STK Samorin	10	9	0	1	22	10	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
4	MSK Zilina B	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
5	Slovan Galanta	10	5	1	4	13	14	16
6	FK Pohronie	10	5	1	4	16	15	16
7	Inter Bratislava	10	4	3	3	20	11	15
8	FC Tatran Presov	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	10	3	4	3	15	12	13
10	OFK Banik Lehota	10	3	4	3	15	16	13
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	10	3	3	4	10	9	12
12	OFK Malzenice	10	3	1	6	13	15	10
13	Slovan Bratislava B	10	2	3	5	14	16	9
14	FK Humenne	10	2	2	6	6	13	8
15	MFK Bytca	10	2	0	8	8	28	6
16	MFK Zvolen	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	STK Samorin
OFK Malzenice	2-1 W	2-0 W
FK Humenne	0-1 L	3-1 W
MFK Zvolen	2-2 D	3-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-1 D	1-0 W
Slovan Galanta	2-0 W	3-2 W
MFK Bytca	5-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
18/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
04/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
30/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
22/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	9	L
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W

STK Samorin

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
19/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	8	W
05/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
22/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-1	4	7	W
15/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
09/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
01/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
27/07	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	10	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs STK Samorin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an STK Samorin win (37%). Probabilities: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 36%, draw 27%, STK Samorin 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs STK Samorin?

The model expects 2.71 goals (FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.34 · STK Samorin 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs STK Samorin?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.