Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 04/10, 10:30

Prediction: FC Petrzalka vs OFK Malzenice

Team pages: FC Petrzalka · OFK Malzenice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

FC Petrzalka2.07

OFK Malzenice0.84

1X2

65% 21% 14%

FC Petrzalka Draw OFK Malzenice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Petrzalka 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

OFK Malzenice 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

FC Petrzalka 2–3–1 OFK Malzenice (6 last)

OFK Malzenice0-0FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka3-1OFK Malzenice
FC Petrzalka0-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice1-0FC Petrzalka
OFK Malzenice1-2FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka2-2OFK Malzenice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka 1616 · OFK Malzenice 1459

	FC Petrzalka	Draw	OFK Malzenice
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1616 vs 1459).
H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Petrzalka	OFK Malzenice
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.6	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.2	3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +6’	1.40	4.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka 2–3–1 OFK Malzenice

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
10/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	3-1 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
09/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	0-0 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
26/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
07/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Petrzalka
17/09/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	2-2 HT 1-1	OFK Malzenice

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	10	9	0	1	20	6	27
2	STK Samorin	10	9	0	1	22	10	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
4	MSK Zilina B	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
5	Slovan Galanta	10	5	1	4	13	14	16
6	FK Pohronie	10	5	1	4	16	15	16
7	Inter Bratislava	10	4	3	3	20	11	15
8	FC Tatran Presov	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	10	3	4	3	15	12	13
10	OFK Banik Lehota	10	3	4	3	15	16	13
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	10	3	3	4	10	9	12
12	OFK Malzenice	10	3	1	6	13	15	10
13	Slovan Bratislava B	10	2	3	5	14	16	9
14	FK Humenne	10	2	2	6	6	13	8
15	MFK Bytca	10	2	0	8	8	28	6
16	MFK Zvolen	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Petrzalka	OFK Malzenice
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 W	1-2 L
MFK Zvolen	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	4-2 W	0-1 L
Slovan Galanta	3-0 W	0-1 L
MFK Bytca	4-0 W	3-1 W
MSK Zilina B	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Petrzalka

WWWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
24/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-2	0	2	W
08/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
02/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	12	2	W
26/07	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W

OFK Malzenice

LWDLLWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
13/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
31/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
23/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	8	L
08/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	10	6	D
02/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	4-2	4	6	W
27/07	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka vs OFK Malzenice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Petrzalka win (65%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka 65%, draw 21%, OFK Malzenice 14%.

How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka vs OFK Malzenice?

The model expects 2.91 goals (FC Petrzalka 2.07 · OFK Malzenice 0.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka vs OFK Malzenice?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.