Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FC Petrzalka

Team pages: FC Vion Zlate Moravce · FC Petrzalka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1.34

FC Petrzalka1.25

1X2

38% 28% 34%

FC Vion Zlate Moravce Draw FC Petrzalka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLLWWD

FC Petrzalka 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 5–1 FC Petrzalka (6 last)

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1-0FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka3-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce2-0FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka0-1FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce3-1FC Petrzalka
FC Vion Zlate Moravce4-0FC Petrzalka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1525 · FC Petrzalka 1607

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	Draw	FC Petrzalka
Our model	38%	29%	34%
Market	39%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1525 vs 1607).
H2H favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	FC Petrzalka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.1	3.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +13’	2.35	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 5–0–1 FC Petrzalka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
26/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	3-2 HT 3-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
28/02/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Petrzalka
03/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
23/06/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-1 HT 2-0	FC Petrzalka
04/02/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Petrzalka

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	9	8	0	1	18	6	24
2	STK Samorin	9	8	0	1	19	9	24
3	MSK Zilina B	9	5	1	3	12	9	16
4	FK Pohronie	9	5	1	3	16	12	16
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	9	5	1	3	16	16	16
6	OFK Banik Lehota	9	3	4	2	14	12	13
7	FC Tatran Presov	9	4	1	4	10	12	13
8	Slovan Galanta	9	4	1	4	9	13	13
9	Inter Bratislava	9	3	3	3	17	11	12
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	9	3	3	3	10	7	12
11	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	9	2	4	3	13	11	10
12	OFK Malzenice	9	3	1	5	12	13	10
13	Slovan Bratislava B	9	2	2	5	12	14	8
14	FK Humenne	9	2	1	6	6	13	7
15	MFK Bytca	9	2	0	7	7	24	6
16	MFK Zvolen	9	0	3	6	6	15	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	FC Petrzalka
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-0 D	2-0 W
MFK Zvolen	4-0 W	1-0 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-0 W	4-2 W
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	3-0 W
MFK Bytca	1-2 L	4-0 W
MSK Zilina B	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

DWDLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
14/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
05/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
29/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
22/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
15/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
10/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/05	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	10	4	D

FC Petrzalka

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
24/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-2	0	2	W
08/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
02/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	12	2	W
26/07	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
15/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FC Petrzalka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vion Zlate Moravce win (38%). Probabilities: FC Vion Zlate Moravce 38%, draw 28%, FC Petrzalka 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FC Petrzalka?

The model expects 2.59 goals (FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1.34 · FC Petrzalka 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs FC Petrzalka?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.