Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 27/09, 10:30

Prediction: OFK Malzenice vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Team pages: OFK Malzenice · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

OFK Malzenice1.35

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.18

1X2

40% 27% 32%

OFK Malzenice Draw FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Malzenice 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWLLW

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLDLD

Head-to-head

OFK Malzenice 0–1–5 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (6 last)

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas0-0OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice1-2FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas4-1OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice1-4FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas4-2OFK Malzenice
OFK Malzenice0-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Malzenice 1484 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1502

	OFK Malzenice	Draw	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Malzenice	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.8	2.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +3’	2.20	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Malzenice 0–1–5 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-0 HT 0-0	OFK Malzenice
14/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
08/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4-1 HT 1-1	OFK Malzenice
10/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	1-4 HT 1-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
11/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4-2 HT 3-1	OFK Malzenice
30/07/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Malzenice	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	9	8	0	1	18	6	24
2	STK Samorin	9	8	0	1	19	9	24
3	MSK Zilina B	9	5	1	3	12	9	16
4	FK Pohronie	9	5	1	3	16	12	16
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	9	5	1	3	16	16	16
6	OFK Banik Lehota	9	3	4	2	14	12	13
7	FC Tatran Presov	9	4	1	4	10	12	13
8	Slovan Galanta	9	4	1	4	9	13	13
9	Inter Bratislava	9	3	3	3	17	11	12
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	9	3	3	3	10	7	12
11	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	9	2	4	3	13	11	10
12	OFK Malzenice	9	3	1	5	12	13	10
13	Slovan Bratislava B	9	2	2	5	12	14	8
14	FK Humenne	9	2	1	6	6	13	7
15	MFK Bytca	9	2	0	7	7	24	6
16	MFK Zvolen	9	0	3	6	6	15	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Malzenice	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Tatran Presov	0-1 L	1-1 D
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	2-0 W
MFK Bytca	3-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Malzenice

WLWDLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
13/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
31/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
23/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	8	L
08/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	10	6	D
02/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	4-2	4	6	W
27/07	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
15/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	5	W

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

LWWDDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
04/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
30/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
22/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	9	L
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
15/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Malzenice vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Malzenice win (40%). Probabilities: OFK Malzenice 40%, draw 27%, FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 32%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Malzenice vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model expects 2.53 goals (OFK Malzenice 1.35 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Malzenice vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.