Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 22/08, 16:30

Prediction: FK Humenne vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Team pages: FK Humenne · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

FK Humenne1.16

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.63

1X2

26% 26% 48%

FK Humenne Draw FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Humenne 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWWL

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWDD

Head-to-head

FK Humenne 1–1–2 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (4 last)

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas3-0FK Humenne
FK Humenne1-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1-0FK Humenne
FK Humenne4-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Humenne 1511 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1590

	FK Humenne	Draw	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Our model	26%	27%	47%
Market	27%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (rating 1511 vs 1590).
H2H favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas: 2-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Humenne	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	2.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +8’	3.40	3.60	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Humenne 1–1–2 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Humenne
28/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Humenne	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
10/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Humenne
28/10/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Humenne	4-1 HT 1-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	4	4	0	0	13	2	12
2	MSK Povazska Bystrica	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
3	STK Samorin	4	3	0	1	7	4	9
4	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
5	MSK Zilina B	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
6	FC Tatran Presov	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
7	FK Pohronie	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
8	Inter Bratislava	4	2	0	2	7	4	6
9	OFK Banik Lehota	4	1	3	0	8	6	6
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
11	OFK Malzenice	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
12	Slovan Bratislava B	4	1	0	3	6	7	3
13	FK Humenne	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
14	MFK Zvolen	4	0	2	2	3	5	2
15	Slovan Galanta	4	0	1	3	1	9	1
16	MFK Bytca	4	0	0	4	1	15	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Humenne	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Tatran Presov	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Humenne

WWLWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
11/08	MFK Snina Slovakia Cup	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	11	5	L
25/07	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
11/07	FC Kosice Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
08/07	Odeva Lipany Club Friendly List	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
23/06	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
30/05	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	6-0	8-0	–	–	W
23/05	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

DWWDWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
11/07	Dukla Banska Bystrica Club Friendly List	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
07/07	Spisska Nova Ves Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
01/07	FK Poprad Club Friendly List	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
27/06	Podhale Nowy Targ Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
19/06	OFK Banik Lehota Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Humenne vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas win (48%). Probabilities: FK Humenne 26%, draw 26%, FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 48%.

How many goals are expected in FK Humenne vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FK Humenne 1.16 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.63), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Humenne vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.