Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 22/08, 16:30

Prediction: MFK Zvolen vs FC Petrzalka

Team pages: MFK Zvolen · FC Petrzalka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

MFK Zvolen1.05

FC Petrzalka1.77

1X2

22% 25% 54%

MFK Zvolen Draw FC Petrzalka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Zvolen 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWDLLD

FC Petrzalka 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

MFK Zvolen 2–1–2 FC Petrzalka (5 last)

FC Petrzalka1-1MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen3-2FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka0-1MFK Zvolen
FC Petrzalka2-0MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen0-3FC Petrzalka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Zvolen 1479 · FC Petrzalka 1586

	MFK Zvolen	Draw	FC Petrzalka
Our model	21%	26%	53%
Market	22%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1479 vs 1586).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Zvolen	FC Petrzalka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.75

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +7’	4.20	3.75	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Zvolen 2–1–2 FC Petrzalka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zvolen
16/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	3-2 HT 1-2	FC Petrzalka
15/02/25 Club Friendly List	FC Petrzalka	0-1 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
09/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	2-0 HT 2-0	MFK Zvolen
27/07/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Petrzalka

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	4	4	0	0	13	2	12
2	MSK Povazska Bystrica	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
3	STK Samorin	4	3	0	1	7	4	9
4	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
5	MSK Zilina B	4	2	1	1	3	3	7
6	FC Tatran Presov	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
7	FK Pohronie	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
8	Inter Bratislava	4	2	0	2	7	4	6
9	OFK Banik Lehota	4	1	3	0	8	6	6
10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
11	OFK Malzenice	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
12	Slovan Bratislava B	4	1	0	3	6	7	3
13	FK Humenne	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
14	MFK Zvolen	4	0	2	2	3	5	2
15	Slovan Galanta	4	0	1	3	1	9	1
16	MFK Bytca	4	0	0	4	1	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Zvolen	FC Petrzalka
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	0-1 L	4-2 W
Slovan Galanta	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	0-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MFK Zvolen

WLLDDWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	9	4	D
08/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
18/07	Fomat Martin Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
08/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
04/07	MFK Ruzomberok Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-3	3	1	D
20/06	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
23/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
19/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

FC Petrzalka

WDLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-2	0	2	W
08/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
02/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	12	2	W
26/07	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
18/07	Opava Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
11/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
04/07	MFK Skalica Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
27/06	AS Trencin Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-4	1	1	L
20/06	FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-3	1	4	D
15/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Zvolen vs FC Petrzalka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Petrzalka win (54%). Probabilities: MFK Zvolen 22%, draw 25%, FC Petrzalka 54%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Zvolen vs FC Petrzalka?

The model expects 2.82 goals (MFK Zvolen 1.05 · FC Petrzalka 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Zvolen vs FC Petrzalka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.