Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 30/08, 10:30

Prediction: Slovan Bratislava B vs MSK Povazska Bystrica

Team pages: Slovan Bratislava B · MSK Povazska Bystrica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Slovan Bratislava B1.65

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.55

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Slovan Bratislava B Draw MSK Povazska Bystrica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Bratislava B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLLWD

MSK Povazska Bystrica 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Slovan Bratislava B 3–1–2 MSK Povazska Bystrica (6 last)

MSK Povazska Bystrica1-1Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B2-4MSK Povazska Bystrica
Slovan Bratislava B2-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica1-3Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B2-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica3-1Slovan Bratislava B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Bratislava B 1480 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1509

	Slovan Bratislava B	Draw	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slovan Bratislava B: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Bratislava B	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	1.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +4’	2.35	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Bratislava B 3–1–2 MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-1 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava B
14/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	2-4 HT 1-2	MSK Povazska Bystrica
10/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	2-0 HT 1-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
27/07/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-3 HT 0-0	Slovan Bratislava B
10/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	2-0 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
28/10/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	3-1 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava B

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	5	5	0	0	14	2	15
2	STK Samorin	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
3	FC Tatran Presov	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
4	MSK Zilina B	5	3	1	1	5	4	10
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
6	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	5	2	2	1	10	4	8
7	OFK Banik Lehota	5	1	4	0	10	8	7
8	FK Pohronie	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
9	Inter Bratislava	5	2	0	3	8	6	6
10	FK Humenne	5	2	0	3	4	8	6
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
12	OFK Malzenice	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
13	Slovan Galanta	5	1	1	3	3	9	4
14	Slovan Bratislava B	5	1	1	3	8	9	4
15	MFK Bytca	5	1	0	4	3	16	3
16	MFK Zvolen	5	0	2	3	3	6	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Bratislava B	MSK Povazska Bystrica
STK Samorin	1-2 L	1-4 L
OFK Malzenice	2-4 L	2-1 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-1 L	2-1 W
FK Pohronie	1-2 L	1-2 L
MFK Stara Lubovna	5-1 W	1-1 D
MSK Zilina B	4-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Bratislava B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Bratislava B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
17/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
09/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
02/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-4	9	6	L
26/07	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
15/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
08/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
02/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
26/04	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	4-0	4-2	6	2	W
22/04	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L
16/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
10/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
31/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
25/07	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
08/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
02/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
22/04	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Bratislava B vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan Bratislava B win (39%). Probabilities: Slovan Bratislava B 39%, draw 26%, MSK Povazska Bystrica 35%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Bratislava B vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Slovan Bratislava B 1.65 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.55), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava B vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.