Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 30/08, 10:30

Prediction: FC Petrzalka vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Team pages: FC Petrzalka · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

FC Petrzalka1.71

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.24

1X2

48% 25% 27%

FC Petrzalka Draw FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Petrzalka 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Petrzalka 3–1–2 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (6 last)

FC Petrzalka2-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas4-2FC Petrzalka
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka0-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas2-4FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka2-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka 1606 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1587

	FC Petrzalka	Draw	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Petrzalka	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.9	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.80

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:54 +52’	1.90	3.80	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka 3–1–2 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
01/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4-2 HT 1-1	FC Petrzalka
05/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Petrzalka
12/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
28/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-4 HT 1-2	FC Petrzalka
15/10/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	5	5	0	0	14	2	15
2	STK Samorin	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
3	FC Tatran Presov	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
4	MSK Zilina B	5	3	1	1	5	4	10
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
6	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	5	2	2	1	10	4	8
7	OFK Banik Lehota	5	1	4	0	10	8	7
8	FK Pohronie	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
9	Inter Bratislava	5	2	0	3	8	6	6
10	FK Humenne	5	2	0	3	4	8	6
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
12	OFK Malzenice	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
13	Slovan Galanta	5	1	1	3	3	9	4
14	Slovan Bratislava B	5	1	1	3	8	9	4
15	MFK Bytca	5	1	0	4	3	16	3
16	MFK Zvolen	5	0	2	3	3	6	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Petrzalka	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Tatran Presov	4-2 W	1-1 D
Slovan Galanta	3-0 W	2-0 W
MFK Bytca	4-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-2	0	2	W
08/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
02/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	12	2	W
26/07	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
15/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
08/05	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
03/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	15	0	L
25/04	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
22/04	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	9	L
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
15/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
08/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
02/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
25/04	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
22/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Petrzalka win (48%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka 48%, draw 25%, FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model expects 2.95 goals (FC Petrzalka 1.71 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.