Football · Belgium Super League Women · 19/09, 13:30
Prediction: Standard Liege (W) vs OH Leuven (W)
Team pages: Standard Liege (W) · OH Leuven (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Standard Liege (W)0.77
OH Leuven (W)2.11
1X2
Standard Liege (W)
Draw
OH Leuven (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Standard Liege (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
OH Leuven (W)
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Standard Liege (W)
1–1–4
OH Leuven (W)
(6 last)
- OH Leuven (W)3-2Standard Liege (W)
- Standard Liege (W)1-1OH Leuven (W)
- Standard Liege (W)1-2OH Leuven (W)
- OH Leuven (W)2-1Standard Liege (W)
- Standard Liege (W)1-3OH Leuven (W)
- Standard Liege (W)1-0OH Leuven (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Standard Liege (W) 1445 · OH Leuven (W) 1624
| Standard Liege (W) | Draw | OH Leuven (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| Market | 12% | 20% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OH Leuven (W) (rating 1445 vs 1624).
- H2H favours OH Leuven (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Standard Liege (W) | OH Leuven (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege (W) 1–1–4 OH Leuven (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 04/04/26 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 21/02/26 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 20/12/25 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 03/10/25 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 10/05/25 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | OH Leuven (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Standard Liege (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Genk (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Standard Liege (W) | OH Leuven (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge (W) | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Anderlecht (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: OH Leuven (W) (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Standard Liege (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
OH Leuven (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/03 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Standard Liege (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an OH Leuven (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Standard Liege (W) 12%, draw 21%, OH Leuven (W) 68%.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Standard Liege (W) 0.77 · OH Leuven (W) 2.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Standard Liege (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.