Football · Belgium Super League Women · 12/09, 19:30

Prediction: Gent (W) vs Anderlecht (W)

Team pages: Gent (W) · Anderlecht (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Gent (W)0.59
Anderlecht (W)2.5
1X2
7% 14% 79%
Gent (W) Draw Anderlecht (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Gent (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWWWDLLLLL
Anderlecht (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDDDDW
Head-to-head
Gent (W) 1–5 Anderlecht (W) (6 last)
  • Gent (W)2-0Anderlecht (W)
  • Gent (W)1-2Anderlecht (W)
  • Anderlecht (W)2-1Gent (W)
  • Anderlecht (W)2-0Gent (W)
  • Gent (W)1-3Anderlecht (W)
  • Anderlecht (W)2-1Gent (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gent (W) 1440 · Anderlecht (W) 1573
Gent (W)DrawAnderlecht (W)
Our model6%15%79%
Market8%12%80%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (W) (rating 1440 vs 1573).
  • H2H favours Anderlecht (W): 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gent (W)Anderlecht (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 21.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.42.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 0.12.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gent (W) 105 Anderlecht (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Belgium Super League Women
Gent (W)2-0
HT 0-0
Anderlecht (W)
17/01/26
Belgium Super League Women
Gent (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Anderlecht (W)
06/12/25
Belgium Cup Women
Anderlecht (W)2-1
HT 2-1
Gent (W)
04/10/25
Belgium Super League Women
Anderlecht (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Gent (W)
07/02/25
Belgium Super League Women
Gent (W)1-3
HT 0-0
Anderlecht (W)
16/11/24
Belgium Super League Women
Anderlecht (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Gent (W)

Standings · Belgium Super League Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 OH Leuven (W) 110 613
2 Anderlecht (W) 110 403
3 Club Brugge (W) 110 313
4 RAAL La Louviere (W) 110 103
5 Zulte-Waregem (W) 101 010
6 Standard Liege (W) 101 130
7 Genk (W) 101 040
8 Gent (W) 101 160

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGent (W)Anderlecht (W)
OH Leuven (W) 1-6 L 1-1 D
Genk (W) 0-2 L 4-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gent (W)

DWWWDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 OH Leuven (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-3 1-6 41 L
23/05 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-2 1-2 50 L
16/05 Genk (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 0-2 60 L
09/05 Zulte-Waregem (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 1-4 23 L
02/05 Zulte-Waregem (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-1 0-1 93 L
24/04 Genk (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 2-2 110 D
04/04 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 1-0 31 W
21/03 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 3-1 42 W
14/03 Anderlecht (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 2-0 50 W
22/02 Genk (W)
Belgium Super League Women
2-0 2-2 51 D

Anderlecht (W)

WLLWWDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Genk (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 4-0 53 W
22/05 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 1-1 44 D
17/05 Standard Liege (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 1-1 D
09/05 OH Leuven (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 1-1 53 D
02/05 OH Leuven (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-1 1-1 63 D
25/04 Standard Liege (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 2-0 110 W
04/04 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 2-0 43 W
21/03 OH Leuven (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-1 0-1 67 L
14/03 Gent (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 0-2 60 L
21/02 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 3-2 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gent (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Anderlecht (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Gent (W) 7%, draw 14%, Anderlecht (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in Gent (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Gent (W) 0.59 · Anderlecht (W) 2.5), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gent (W) vs Anderlecht (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.