Football · Belgium Super League Women · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: OH Leuven (W) vs Club Brugge (W)
Team pages: OH Leuven (W) · Club Brugge (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
OH Leuven (W)1.79
Club Brugge (W)1
1X2
OH Leuven (W)
Draw
Club Brugge (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
OH Leuven (W)
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Club Brugge (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OH Leuven (W)
4–2
Club Brugge (W)
(6 last)
- Club Brugge (W)0-2OH Leuven (W)
- OH Leuven (W)2-1Club Brugge (W)
- OH Leuven (W)2-1Club Brugge (W)
- Club Brugge (W)2-0OH Leuven (W)
- Club Brugge (W)1-0OH Leuven (W)
- OH Leuven (W)2-1Club Brugge (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OH Leuven (W) 1602 · Club Brugge (W) 1493
| OH Leuven (W) | Draw | Club Brugge (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OH Leuven (W) (rating 1602 vs 1493).
- H2H favours OH Leuven (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OH Leuven (W) | Club Brugge (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 3.8 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OH Leuven (W) 4–0–2 Club Brugge (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Belgium Super League Women | Club Brugge (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 25/04/26 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Club Brugge (W) |
| 14/03/26 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club Brugge (W) |
| 23/11/25 Belgium Super League Women | Club Brugge (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 01/11/25 Belgium Cup Women | Club Brugge (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 11/10/25 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club Brugge (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | OH Leuven (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Standard Liege (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | Genk (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OH Leuven (W) | Club Brugge (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (W) | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Genk (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Anderlecht (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OH Leuven (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Club Brugge (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 17 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OH Leuven (W) vs Club Brugge (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OH Leuven (W) win (55%). Probabilities: OH Leuven (W) 55%, draw 24%, Club Brugge (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in OH Leuven (W) vs Club Brugge (W)?
The model expects 2.79 goals (OH Leuven (W) 1.79 · Club Brugge (W) 1), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in OH Leuven (W) vs Club Brugge (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.