Football · Belgium Super League Women · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Club Brugge (W) vs Genk (W)

Team pages: Club Brugge (W) · Genk (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Club Brugge (W)2.2

Genk (W)1.02

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Club Brugge (W) Draw Genk (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Brugge (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLDWW

Genk (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWLLD

Head-to-head

Club Brugge (W) 3–2–1 Genk (W) (6 last)

Genk (W)1-2Club Brugge (W)
Genk (W)0-4Club Brugge (W)
Club Brugge (W)2-2Genk (W)
Club Brugge (W)4-0Genk (W)
Club Brugge (W)2-2Genk (W)
Genk (W)2-1Club Brugge (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Brugge (W) 1483 · Genk (W) 1479

	Club Brugge (W)	Draw	Genk (W)
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club Brugge (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Brugge (W)	Genk (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.65 ★
2	7.00 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:26 +7’	1.30	5.00	7.00
05:50 +8’	1.33▲	5.00	6.50▼
12:51 +30’	1.40▲	4.50▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +46’	1.38	4.65	5.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Brugge (W) 3–2–1 Genk (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Belgium Super League Women	Genk (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Club Brugge (W)
16/01/26 Belgium Super League Women	Genk (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Club Brugge (W)
18/10/25 Belgium Super League Women	Club Brugge (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Genk (W)
08/03/25 Belgium Super League Women	Club Brugge (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Genk (W)
23/11/24 Belgium Super League Women	Club Brugge (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Genk (W)
11/10/24 Belgium Super League Women	Genk (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Club Brugge (W)

Standings · Belgium Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Anderlecht (W)	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
2	Club Brugge (W)	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	OH Leuven (W)	2	1	1	0	6	1	4
4	RAAL La Louviere (W)	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
5	Standard Liege (W)	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
6	Genk (W)	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
7	Zulte-Waregem (W)	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
8	Gent (W)	2	0	0	2	1	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Brugge (W)	Genk (W)
Zulte-Waregem (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Anderlecht (W)	1-1 D	0-4 L
OH Leuven (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Brugge (W)

LLLLDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
05/09	Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women	3-0	3-1	7	1	W
22/05	Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
09/05	Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
02/05	Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women	2-1	2-2	12	6	D
25/04	OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
04/04	Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
21/03	Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
14/03	OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	1-2	7	1	L

Genk (W)

WDDWDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
05/09	Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
22/05	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
16/05	Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	2-0	6	0	W
09/05	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
06/05	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
01/05	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
24/04	Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	2-2	4	0	D
21/03	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	3-3	5	2	D
13/03	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	4-2	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Brugge (W) vs Genk (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Brugge (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Club Brugge (W) 64%, draw 20%, Genk (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Club Brugge (W) vs Genk (W)?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Club Brugge (W) 2.2 · Genk (W) 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Brugge (W) vs Genk (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.