Prediction: Jadran Dekani vs NK Jesenice
Team pages: Jadran Dekani · NK Jesenice
- Jadran Dekani3-0NK Jesenice
- NK Jesenice2-2Jadran Dekani
| Jadran Dekani | Draw | NK Jesenice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jadran Dekani (rating 1493 vs 1391).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jadran Dekani | NK Jesenice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/0/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jadran Dekani 1–1–0 NK Jesenice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 3-0 HT 0-0 | NK Jesenice |
| 30/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Jesenice | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Jadran Dekani |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Tabor Sezana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Bilje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | NK Krsko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Jadran Dekani | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NK Rudar Velenje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | ND Beltinci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Vrhnika | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NK Triglav Kranj | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | NK Jesenice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | NK Krka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | NK Bistrica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | NK Brezice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | ND Dravinja | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jadran Dekani | NK Jesenice |
|---|---|---|
| ND Slovan Ljubljana | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| NK Krka | 4-3 W | 2-3 L |
| NK Rudar Velenje | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Jadran Dekani (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/08 | Ankaran Hrvatini Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | NK Uljanik Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | HNK Rijeka Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | FC Bihor Oradea Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
4-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
NK Jesenice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | HNK Segesta Club Friendly List |
0-6 | 0-8 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/04 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-4 | 1-8 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jadran Dekani vs NK Jesenice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jadran Dekani win (60%). Probabilities: Jadran Dekani 60%, draw 22%, NK Jesenice 18%.
How many goals are expected in Jadran Dekani vs NK Jesenice?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Jadran Dekani 2.22 · NK Jesenice 1.17), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Jadran Dekani vs NK Jesenice?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.