Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura

Team pages: NK Nafta 1903 · NS Mura

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
NK Nafta 19031.31
NS Mura1.39
1X2
34% 28% 38%
NK Nafta 1903 Draw NS Mura
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Nafta 1903 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDDWLLLLW
NS Mura 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWWLLLDW
Head-to-head
NK Nafta 1903 2–2–2 NS Mura (6 last)
  • NS Mura1-2NK Nafta 1903
  • NK Nafta 19034-2NS Mura
  • NS Mura0-0NK Nafta 1903
  • NK Nafta 19030-0NS Mura
  • NS Mura1-0NK Nafta 1903
  • NK Nafta 19030-2NS Mura
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Nafta 1903 1472 · NS Mura 1454
NK Nafta 1903DrawNS Mura
Our model34%28%38%
Market35%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK Nafta 1903NS Mura
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.41.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.24.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Nafta 1903 222 NS Mura

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/12/25
Slovenia Cup
NS Mura1-2
HT 1-1
NK Nafta 1903
05/04/25
Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Nafta 19034-2
HT 1-1
NS Mura
02/02/25
Slovenia Prva Liga
NS Mura0-0
HT 0-0
NK Nafta 1903
28/09/24
Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Nafta 19030-0
HT 0-0
NS Mura
20/07/24
Slovenia Prva Liga
NS Mura1-0
HT 0-0
NK Nafta 1903
24/06/20
Slovenia Cup
NK Nafta 19030-2
HT 0-0
NS Mura

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 NK Maribor 2110 304
2 FC Koper 2110 424
3 NS Mura 2110 324
4 NK Nafta 1903 2101 323
5 NK Brinje Grosuplje 2101 233
6 NK Bravo 2101 233
7 NK Celje 1010 221
8 NK Aluminij 1010 001
9 NK Radomlje 2011 241
10 Olimpija Ljubljana 2002 030

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK Nafta 1903NS Mura
FC Koper 0-2 L 0-1 L
NK Primorje Ajdovscina 1-0 W 2-0 W
ND Beltinci 2-1 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NS Mura (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Nafta 1903

WLDDWLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 NK Bravo
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-0 3-0 35 W
17/07 FC Koper
Slovenia Prva Liga
0-1 0-2 63 L
11/07 Partizan Belgrade
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-4 03 L
04/07 Budapest Honved
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-3 31 L
27/06 FC Voluntari
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 50 L
31/05 NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 53 W
27/05 NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 25 D
22/05 NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 1-1 94 D
17/05 NK Brinje Grosuplje
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-2 1-2 66 L
10/05 ND Beltinci
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 2-1 54 W

NS Mura

LLLWWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-0 1-0 07 W
17/07 NK Celje
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-0 2-2 15 D
05/07 ND Beltinci
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-4 33 L
26/06 SK Sturm Graz
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-5 31 L
22/05 NK Radomlje
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-2 2-3 44 L
17/05 NK Maribor
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-0 2-1 210 W
10/05 NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Slovenia Prva Liga
1-0 2-0 43 W
03/05 FC Koper
Slovenia Prva Liga
0-1 0-1 54 L
19/04 NK Celje
Slovenia Prva Liga
0-2 0-2 21 L
16/04 NK Aluminij
Slovenia Prva Liga
0-1 1-2 94 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NS Mura win (38%). Probabilities: NK Nafta 1903 34%, draw 28%, NS Mura 38%.

How many goals are expected in NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura?

The model expects 2.7 goals (NK Nafta 1903 1.31 · NS Mura 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Nafta 1903 vs NS Mura?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.