Prediction: NK Aluminij vs NK Nafta 1903
Team pages: NK Aluminij · NK Nafta 1903
- NK Aluminij1-1NK Nafta 1903
- NK Nafta 19031-3NK Aluminij
- NK Nafta 19033-2NK Aluminij
| NK Aluminij | Draw | NK Nafta 1903 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Nafta 1903 (rating 1419 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Aluminij | NK Nafta 1903 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Aluminij 1–1–1 NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Aluminij | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NK Nafta 1903 |
| 04/09/22 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Nafta 1903 | 1-3 HT 0-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 30/06/21 Europe Friendlies | NK Nafta 1903 | 3-2 HT 2-0 | NK Aluminij |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Nafta 1903 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | NK Bravo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Maribor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Koper | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | NS Mura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Celje | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | NK Aluminij | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | NK Radomlje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Aluminij
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 09/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Noah Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Pyunik Yerevan Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | NK Race Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Budapest Honved Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Voluntari Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Aluminij vs NK Nafta 1903?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Aluminij win (38%). Probabilities: NK Aluminij 38%, draw 28%, NK Nafta 1903 34%.
How many goals are expected in NK Aluminij vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model expects 2.44 goals (NK Aluminij 1.27 · NK Nafta 1903 1.17), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Aluminij vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.