Prediction: NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
Team pages: NK Celje · Olimpija Ljubljana
- NK Celje2-0Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana3-1NK Celje
- Olimpija Ljubljana1-0NK Celje
- NK Celje0-0Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana0-5NK Celje
- NK Celje3-3Olimpija Ljubljana
| NK Celje | Draw | Olimpija Ljubljana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Celje (rating 1521 vs 1440).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Celje | Olimpija Ljubljana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Celje 2–2–2 Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 08/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-1 HT 2-0 | NK Celje |
| 04/12/25 Slovenia Cup | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NK Celje |
| 18/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 03/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-5 HT 0-2 | NK Celje |
| 27/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Nafta 1903 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | NK Bravo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Maribor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Koper | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | NS Mura | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Celje | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | NK Aluminij | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | NK Radomlje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Celje | Olimpija Ljubljana |
|---|---|---|
| NS Mura | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Cukaricki | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Celje (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Celje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/07 | FK Egnatia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/07 | MTK Budapest Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Cukaricki Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | Hajduk Split Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | NK Rudes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | FK Cukaricki Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Celje win (52%). Probabilities: NK Celje 52%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 23%.
How many goals are expected in NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model expects 2.7 goals (NK Celje 1.68 · Olimpija Ljubljana 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.