Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 02/08, 20:15
Prediction: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Aluminij
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Olimpija Ljubljana1.62
NK Aluminij0.94
1X2
Olimpija Ljubljana
Draw
NK Aluminij
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpija Ljubljana
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
NK Aluminij
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpija Ljubljana
5–1–0
NK Aluminij
(6 last)
- Olimpija Ljubljana2-1NK Aluminij
- NK Aluminij1-2Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana1-1NK Aluminij
- NK Aluminij0-3Olimpija Ljubljana
- Olimpija Ljubljana5-0NK Aluminij
- NK Aluminij0-4Olimpija Ljubljana
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpija Ljubljana (rating 1460 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Olimpija Ljubljana: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpija Ljubljana | NK Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpija Ljubljana 5–1–0 NK Aluminij
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-1 HT 0-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 05/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 03/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NK Aluminij |
| 26/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 20/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 5-0 HT 1-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 24/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Maribor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | NS Mura | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | NK Bravo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | NK Aluminij | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | NK Nafta 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | NK Radomlje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | NK Rudes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | FK Cukaricki Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
NK Aluminij
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 09/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Noah Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Pyunik Yerevan Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | NK Race Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Aluminij?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpija Ljubljana win (52%). Probabilities: Olimpija Ljubljana 52%, draw 27%, NK Aluminij 21%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Aluminij?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Olimpija Ljubljana 1.62 · NK Aluminij 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Aluminij?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.