Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 12/09, 17:30

Prediction: FC Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Team pages: FC Koper · Olimpija Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

FC Koper1.72

Olimpija Ljubljana0.65

1X2

62% 25% 13%

FC Koper Draw Olimpija Ljubljana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Koper 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLDWW

Olimpija Ljubljana 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDWDW

Head-to-head

FC Koper 3–2–1 Olimpija Ljubljana (6 last)

FC Koper3-2Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana3-3FC Koper
FC Koper1-0Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana1-3FC Koper
Olimpija Ljubljana1-1FC Koper
FC Koper1-2Olimpija Ljubljana

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Koper (rating 1573 vs 1467).
H2H favours FC Koper: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Koper	Olimpija Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.33 → 2.37▲	Pinn 2.37
X	3.34 → 3.31▼	Pinn 3.31
2	2.88 → 2.93▲	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +39’	2.33	3.34	2.88
21:32 +41’	2.36▲	3.33▼	2.92▲
22:20 +33’	2.37▲	3.31▼	2.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Koper 3–2–1 Olimpija Ljubljana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	3-2 HT 2-0	Olimpija Ljubljana
21/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	3-3 HT 0-1	FC Koper
02/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	1-0 HT 0-0	Olimpija Ljubljana
17/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-3 HT 1-0	FC Koper
09/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Koper
08/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	1-2 HT 1-0	Olimpija Ljubljana

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	8	4	4	0	14	6	16
2	FC Koper	7	3	3	1	7	5	12
3	NK Bravo	8	3	3	2	8	8	12
4	NK Celje	6	3	2	1	10	8	11
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	8	3	2	3	6	5	11
6	NK Nafta 1903	8	3	1	4	15	13	10
7	Aluminij Kidricevo	8	2	3	3	8	8	9
8	NS Mura	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
9	NK Brinje Grosuplje	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
10	NK Radomlje	7	1	2	4	8	13	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Koper	Olimpija Ljubljana
NS Mura	1-0 W	0-1 L
NK Bravo	0-0 D	0-2 L
NK Maribor	0-2 L	1-1 D
NK Brinje Grosuplje	1-1 D	3-0 W
NK Radomlje	2-2 D	0-0 D
NK Nafta 1903	2-0 W	1-0 W
NK Celje	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Koper (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Koper

WWWWDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
22/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
26/07	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
17/07	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
16/05	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/05	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
03/05	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Olimpija Ljubljana

WLLLWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
29/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/08	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
15/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
08/08	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
02/08	NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
25/07	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
18/07	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	12	3	L
23/05	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
17/05	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Koper win (62%). Probabilities: FC Koper 62%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 13%.

How many goals are expected in FC Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

The model expects 2.36 goals (FC Koper 1.72 · Olimpija Ljubljana 0.65), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.