Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 30/10, 14:00
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Hapoel Afula1.44
Maccabi Kiryat Gat1.23
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
4–1–1
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
(6 last)
- Hapoel Afula3-1Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Hapoel Afula5-2Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat0-1Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula4-1Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Hapoel Afula0-0Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat1-0Hapoel Afula
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1530 · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1468
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Afula (rating 1530 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Hapoel Afula: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 4–1–1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/16 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 07/03/16 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 5-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 20/11/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Afula |
| 25/05/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 16/03/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 01/12/14 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Afula |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 4 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Hapoel Raanana | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 19 |
| 6 | SC Kiryat Yam | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Hapoel Afula | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 13 | Ironi Modiin | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 11 |
| 14 | Maccabi Herzliya | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 9 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ironi Modiin | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Hapoel Raanana | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/10 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 28/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Afula win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 41%, draw 28%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 31%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.44 · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.