Football · Israel League Cup · 06/08, 19:00

Prediction: MS Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Team pages: MS Ashdod · Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
MS Ashdod2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.35
1X2
52% 23% 25%
MS Ashdod Draw Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MS Ashdod 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLWLWW
Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
MS Ashdod 2–0 Hapoel Rishon Lezion (2 last)
  • MS Ashdod1-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
  • Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-2MS Ashdod
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MS Ashdod 1474 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1419
MS AshdodDrawHapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model52%24%25%
Market52%22%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MS Ashdod (rating 1474 vs 1419).
  • H2H favours MS Ashdod: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MS AshdodHapoel Rishon Lezion
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.93 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.33.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · MS Ashdod 200 Hapoel Rishon Lezion

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/01/16
Israel Leumit Liga
MS Ashdod1-0
HT 0-0
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
02/10/15
Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-2
HT 1-1
MS Ashdod

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 MS Ashdod 220 416
2 Hapoel Rishon Lezion 211 553
3 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 211 443
4 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 202 250

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MS Ashdod

LLDLLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel League Cup
0-0 2-0 85 W
30/07 Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat
Israel League Cup
2-0 2-1 W
10/07 Ironi Modiin
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-3 20 L
18/05 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel Premier League
1-1 3-2 55 W
13/05 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel Premier League
0-1 0-1 34 L
10/05 Hapoel Haifa
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-1 45 L
03/05 Ironi Tiberias
Israel Premier League
0-1 0-3 54 L
28/04 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel Premier League
0-0 1-1 56 D
25/04 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Premier League
0-0 1-2 86 L
18/04 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
0-0 1-2 49 L

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

LDLLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Israel League Cup
1-0 3-1 83 W
30/07 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel League Cup
1-2 2-4 32 L
18/07 SK Kladno
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 24 L
25/05 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israel Leumit Liga
1-2 2-6 93 L
20/05 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Israel Leumit Liga
0-1 1-2 33 L
15/05 Maccabi Herzliya
Israel Leumit Liga
0-2 1-2 35 L
11/05 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israel Leumit Liga
0-1 0-2 14 L
05/05 SC Kiryat Yam
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-2 73 L
01/05 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 2-2 64 D
27/04 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel Leumit Liga
0-3 0-5 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MS Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MS Ashdod win (52%). Probabilities: MS Ashdod 52%, draw 23%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 25%.

How many goals are expected in MS Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model expects 3.35 goals (MS Ashdod 2 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.35), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MS Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.