Football · Israel League Cup · 06/08, 19:00

Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya

Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Maccabi Herzliya

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Hapoel Afula0.98
Maccabi Herzliya1.89
1X2
19% 23% 58%
Hapoel Afula Draw Maccabi Herzliya
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLDDWLWLL
Maccabi Herzliya 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWLWDDWW
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula 1–1–4 Maccabi Herzliya (6 last)
  • Hapoel Afula1-0Maccabi Herzliya
  • Maccabi Herzliya1-0Hapoel Afula
  • Maccabi Herzliya4-0Hapoel Afula
  • Hapoel Afula2-3Maccabi Herzliya
  • Maccabi Herzliya2-2Hapoel Afula
  • Maccabi Herzliya2-1Hapoel Afula
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1477 · Maccabi Herzliya 1541
Hapoel AfulaDrawMaccabi Herzliya
Our model18%24%58%
Market19%22%59%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Herzliya (rating 1477 vs 1541).
  • H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hapoel AfulaMaccabi Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 51.5 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.44.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 114 Maccabi Herzliya

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/12/25
Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Afula1-0
HT 0-0
Maccabi Herzliya
25/08/25
Israel Leumit Liga
Maccabi Herzliya1-0
HT 1-0
Hapoel Afula
07/08/25
Israel League Cup
Maccabi Herzliya4-0
HT 2-0
Hapoel Afula
03/01/25
Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Afula2-3
HT 1-2
Maccabi Herzliya
02/09/24
Israel Leumit Liga
Maccabi Herzliya2-2
HT 2-1
Hapoel Afula
23/02/24
Israel Leumit Liga
Maccabi Herzliya2-1
HT 1-1
Hapoel Afula

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Maccabi Herzliya 220 736
2 Hapoel Kfar Saba 211 663
3 Hapoel Raanana 211 333
4 Hapoel Afula 202 260

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHapoel AfulaMaccabi Herzliya
Hapoel Raanana 1-3 L 2-0 W
Hapoel Kfar Saba 1-3 L 5-3 W
SC Kiryat Yam 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Herzliya (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Afula

WDLDDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Hapoel Raanana
Israel League Cup
1-2 1-3 74 L
30/07 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel League Cup
1-2 1-3 62 L
25/05 SC Kfar Qasim
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 2-0 W
19/05 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel Leumit Liga
0-1 1-4 62 L
15/05 Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 2-1 510 W
08/05 Hapoel Hadera
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-1 95 D
04/05 Hapoel Raanana
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 64 D
30/04 Hapoel Akko
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 1-4 04 L
24/04 Ironi Modiin
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D
17/04 SC Kiryat Yam
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 2-1 38 W

Maccabi Herzliya

LDWWLWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel League Cup
2-1 5-3 45 W
30/07 Hapoel Raanana
Israel League Cup
0-0 2-0 15 W
25/05 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-1 110 D
20/05 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 1-1 23 D
15/05 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 2-1 25 W
08/05 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-3 34 L
05/05 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israel Leumit Liga
0-2 4-2 36 W
01/05 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 2-1 13 W
27/04 SC Kiryat Yam
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 64 D
17/04 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-1 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Herzliya win (58%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 19%, draw 23%, Maccabi Herzliya 58%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Hapoel Afula 0.98 · Maccabi Herzliya 1.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.