Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Team pages: Hapoel Akko · Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Hapoel Akko0.86

Hapoel Rishon Lezion2.15

1X2

13% 21% 66%

Hapoel Akko Draw Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Akko 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Hapoel Rishon Lezion 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hapoel Akko 1–2–3 Hapoel Rishon Lezion (6 last)

Hapoel Rishon Lezion3-1Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Akko1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Akko1-2Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-1Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Rishon Lezion2-0Hapoel Akko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Akko 1396 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1556

	Hapoel Akko	Draw	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model	13%	21%	66%
Market	13%	21%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion (rating 1396 vs 1556).
H2H favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Akko	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Goals for / against (FT)	0 / 2.6	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.7	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.20

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.32
2	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.50 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +16’	7.00	4.20	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:39 +25’	5.37	4.32	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Akko 1–2–3 Hapoel Rishon Lezion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	3-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Akko
28/11/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
10/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	1-2 HT 0-0	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
05/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Akko
03/05/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	1-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Akko
01/03/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	2-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Akko

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	11	9	1	1	23	8	28
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	11	8	3	0	26	9	27
3	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	11	7	2	2	26	18	23
4	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	11	6	3	2	19	13	21
5	Hapoel Raanana	11	6	1	4	22	14	19
6	SC Kiryat Yam	11	6	1	4	28	21	19
7	Hapoel Afula	11	5	3	3	18	15	18
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	11	5	2	4	20	14	17
9	SC Kfar Qasim	11	4	1	6	13	12	13
10	Hapoel Kfar Saba	11	4	0	7	17	24	12
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	11	2	5	4	11	13	11
12	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	11	3	2	6	12	19	11
13	Ironi Modiin	11	3	2	6	15	23	11
14	Maccabi Herzliya	11	2	3	6	9	14	9
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	11	3	0	8	8	22	9
16	Hapoel Akko	11	0	1	10	0	28	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Akko	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0-4 L	0-3 L
Maccabi Bnei Raina	0-0 D	1-1 D
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0-1 L	3-0 W
Hapoel Afula	0-3 L	2-2 D
Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0-1 L	1-0 W
MS Ashdod	0-4 L	2-3 L
SC Kiryat Yam	0-5 L	4-2 W
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-3 L	0-0 D
SC Kfar Qasim	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 8 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Rishon Lezion (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Akko

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
19/10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-4	5	4	L
09/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
01/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
24/09	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-3	10	6	L
17/09	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	4	11	L
14/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-4	0	7	L
06/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-5	4	3	L
31/08	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
23/08	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-4	2	3	L

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
19/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
12/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-0	5	9	W
01/10	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
24/09	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-3	7	8	L
10/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	4-2	4	3	W
07/09	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
30/08	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
24/08	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (66%). Probabilities: Hapoel Akko 13%, draw 21%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 66%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Hapoel Akko 0.86 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2.15), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.