Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 18:00
Prediction: Gornik Leczna vs KKS 1925 Kalisz
Team pages: Gornik Leczna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Gornik Leczna2.05
KKS 1925 Kalisz0.92
1X2
Gornik Leczna
Draw
KKS 1925 Kalisz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Leczna
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
KKS 1925 Kalisz
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna 1414 · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1482
| Gornik Leczna | Draw | KKS 1925 Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KKS 1925 Kalisz (rating 1414 vs 1482).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Leczna | KKS 1925 Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.7 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Leczna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | Hetman Zamosc Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Dinamo Bucharest Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
KKS 1925 Kalisz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Unia Skierniewice Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Warta Poznan Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna win (63%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna 63%, draw 21%, KKS 1925 Kalisz 16%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Gornik Leczna 2.05 · KKS 1925 Kalisz 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.