Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 16:30

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Team pages: Podhale Nowy Targ · Chojniczanka Chojnice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Podhale Nowy Targ1.81
Chojniczanka Chojnice1.18
1X2
50% 27% 23%
Podhale Nowy Targ Draw Chojniczanka Chojnice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Podhale Nowy Targ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDLLWWWD
Chojniczanka Chojnice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1–0 Chojniczanka Chojnice (2 last)
  • Podhale Nowy Targ3-2Chojniczanka Chojnice
  • Chojniczanka Chojnice0-0Podhale Nowy Targ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1533 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1486
Podhale Nowy TargDrawChojniczanka Chojnice
Our model51%25%24%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podhale Nowy Targ (rating 1533 vs 1486).
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Podhale Nowy TargChojniczanka Chojnice
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.21.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.93 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.34 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 110 Chojniczanka Chojnice

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Poland II Liga
Podhale Nowy Targ3-2
HT 2-0
Chojniczanka Chojnice
25/10/25
Poland II Liga
Chojniczanka Chojnice0-0
HT 0-0
Podhale Nowy Targ

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPodhale Nowy TargChojniczanka Chojnice
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1 W 3-1 W
Hutnik Krakow 0-1 L 1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Podhale Nowy Targ (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Podhale Nowy Targ

DWLDLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 96 W
18/07 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-1 32 W
01/07 Stal Mielec
Europe Friendlies
3-0 5-1 60 W
27/06 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 50 L
30/05 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland II Liga
1-1 1-2 34 L
23/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-2 54 D
17/05 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 56 L
09/05 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-2 86 W
03/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 91 D

Chojniczanka Chojnice

DDLWWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 78 L
26/07 GKS Tychy 71
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 56 L
07/07 Olimpia Elblag
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 61 W
02/07 Petrolul Ploiesti
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-4 32 L
30/05 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
2-0 2-0 02 W
22/05 Unia Skierniewice
Poland II Liga
1-1 3-2 98 W
16/05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland II Liga
3-0 3-1 84 W
09/05 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
0-2 2-3 66 L
03/05 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 54 D
25/04 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-1 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podhale Nowy Targ win (50%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 50%, draw 27%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 23%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 1.81 · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.