Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 17:30

Prediction: Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Warta Poznan · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Warta Poznan2.22
Resovia Rzeszow1.04
1X2
64% 20% 16%
Warta Poznan Draw Resovia Rzeszow
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Warta Poznan 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DWDDLLLLLW
Resovia Rzeszow 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDDWWLLL
Head-to-head
Warta Poznan 1–1–1 Resovia Rzeszow (3 last)
  • Warta Poznan2-2Resovia Rzeszow
  • Resovia Rzeszow0-2Warta Poznan
  • Resovia Rzeszow2-0Warta Poznan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warta Poznan 1499 · Resovia Rzeszow 1452
Warta PoznanDrawResovia Rzeszow
Our model63%21%16%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warta Poznan (rating 1499 vs 1452).
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Warta PoznanResovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.11.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.20.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 53.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.25 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Warta Poznan 111 Resovia Rzeszow

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Poland II Liga
Warta Poznan2-2
HT 1-1
Resovia Rzeszow
16/11/25
Poland II Liga
Resovia Rzeszow0-2
HT 0-1
Warta Poznan
26/09/18
Poland Cup
Resovia Rzeszow2-0
HT 2-0
Warta Poznan

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warta Poznan

DWDDLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Lechia Gdansk
Poland I Liga
3-0 3-0 53 W
24/07 Polonia Bytom
Poland I Liga
1-2 3-4 42 L
18/07 Gornik Polkowice
Europe Friendlies
2-3 3-4 45 L
18/07 Lechia Zielona Góra
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-2 00 L
11/07 Chrobry Glogow
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-3 63 L
03/07 Motor Lublin
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-4 64 L
30/05 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 69 D
23/05 Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland II Liga
0-1 2-2 44 D
17/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-0 80 W
10/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-0 73 D

Resovia Rzeszow

LLDDDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
0-3 1-5 71 L
24/07 Znicz Pruszków
Poland II Liga
0-0 0-1 95 L
04/07 Termalica BB Nieciecza
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-4 21 L
09/06 KSZO Ostrowiec
Poland League II Play-Offs
2-0 3-0 15 W
06/06 KSZO Ostrowiec
Poland League II Play-Offs
1-0 1-0 56 W
30/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 89 D
23/05 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Poland II Liga
0-0 1-1 712 D
15/05 Stal Stalowa Wola
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-2 66 D
10/05 Unia Skierniewice
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-2 85 L
01/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warta Poznan win (64%). Probabilities: Warta Poznan 64%, draw 20%, Resovia Rzeszow 16%.

How many goals are expected in Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Warta Poznan 2.22 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.