Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 17:00
Prediction: Olimpia Grudziadz vs OKS Swit Skolwin
Team pages: Olimpia Grudziadz · OKS Swit Skolwin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Olimpia Grudziadz1.99
OKS Swit Skolwin1.39
1X2
Olimpia Grudziadz
Draw
OKS Swit Skolwin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Grudziadz
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
OKS Swit Skolwin
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Grudziadz
2–2–2
OKS Swit Skolwin
(6 last)
- OKS Swit Skolwin0-1Olimpia Grudziadz
- Olimpia Grudziadz1-1OKS Swit Skolwin
- OKS Swit Skolwin3-1Olimpia Grudziadz
- Olimpia Grudziadz2-2OKS Swit Skolwin
- Olimpia Grudziadz2-0OKS Swit Skolwin
- OKS Swit Skolwin1-0Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Grudziadz 1541 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1430
| Olimpia Grudziadz | Draw | OKS Swit Skolwin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Grudziadz (rating 1541 vs 1430).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Grudziadz | OKS Swit Skolwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 3.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Grudziadz 2–2–2 OKS Swit Skolwin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Poland II Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
| 15/11/25 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 1-1 HT 0-1 | OKS Swit Skolwin |
| 10/05/25 Poland II Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
| 12/10/24 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 2-2 HT 1-1 | OKS Swit Skolwin |
| 12/08/22 Poland III Liga | Olimpia Grudziadz | 2-0 HT 0-0 | OKS Swit Skolwin |
| 18/06/22 Poland III Liga | OKS Swit Skolwin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Grudziadz |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Grudziadz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Arka Gdynia Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Lechia Gdansk Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/06 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
OKS Swit Skolwin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | Blekitni Stargard Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/07 | Kluczevia Stargard Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | GKS Katowice Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 4-3 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Grudziadz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Grudziadz win (50%). Probabilities: Olimpia Grudziadz 50%, draw 25%, OKS Swit Skolwin 25%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Grudziadz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Olimpia Grudziadz 1.99 · OKS Swit Skolwin 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Grudziadz vs OKS Swit Skolwin?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.