Football · Poland Cup · 05/08, 19:00

Prediction: GKS Tychy 71 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Team pages: GKS Tychy 71

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

GKS Tychy 711.89

Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.12

1X2

54% 24% 21%

GKS Tychy 71 Draw Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

GKS Tychy 71 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDDDWW

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDLLLD

Head-to-head

GKS Tychy 71 5–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec (6 last)

Zaglebie Sosnowiec1-3GKS Tychy 71
GKS Tychy 713-2Zaglebie Sosnowiec
GKS Tychy 712-0Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0-1GKS Tychy 71
GKS Tychy 711-0Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1-0GKS Tychy 71

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GKS Tychy 71 1530 · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1419

	GKS Tychy 71	Draw	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Our model	54%	24%	21%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Tychy 71 (rating 1530 vs 1419).
H2H favours GKS Tychy 71: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GKS Tychy 71	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.75

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.68 ★
X	4.20 → 3.75▼	Pinn 3.76
2	5.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:36 +32’	1.44	4.20	5.50
16:06 +6’	1.65▲	3.75▼	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:11	1.69	3.76	4.03
17:14	1.68▼	3.76	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GKS Tychy 71 5–0–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-3 HT 1-1	GKS Tychy 71
01/02/25 Europe Friendlies	GKS Tychy 71	3-2 HT 2-0	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
27/04/24 Poland I Liga	GKS Tychy 71	2-0 HT 1-0	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
28/10/23 Poland I Liga	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	0-1 HT 0-1	GKS Tychy 71
04/03/23 Poland I Liga	GKS Tychy 71	1-0 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
10/08/22 Poland I Liga	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-0 HT 1-0	GKS Tychy 71

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GKS Tychy 71	Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-1 W	0-0 D
Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Tychy 71 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

GKS Tychy 71

LLDDWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/07	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
18/07	Trinec Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
18/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
08/07	Sparta Katowice Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	5	5	D
04/07	Odra Opole Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	1-1	3-3	6	2	D
17/05	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
10/05	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-3	0-4	9	2	L
03/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	1-1	2-3	1	5	L

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

DLLWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/07	Podhale Nowy Targ Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-4	5	2	L
15/07	Polonia Nysa Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
08/07	MKS Kluczbork Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-4	4	4	L
04/07	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
30/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
22/05	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
16/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
10/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	11	9	L
30/04	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GKS Tychy 71 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GKS Tychy 71 win (54%). Probabilities: GKS Tychy 71 54%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 21%.

How many goals are expected in GKS Tychy 71 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

The model expects 3.01 goals (GKS Tychy 71 1.89 · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GKS Tychy 71 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.