Football · Poland I Liga · 24/08, 19:00
Prediction: Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow
Team pages: Stal Rzeszow · Ruch Chorzow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Stal Rzeszow1.23
Ruch Chorzow1.73
1X2
Stal Rzeszow
Draw
Ruch Chorzow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Rzeszow
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Ruch Chorzow
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Rzeszow
0–1–5
Ruch Chorzow
(6 last)
- Stal Rzeszow0-1Ruch Chorzow
- Ruch Chorzow4-0Stal Rzeszow
- Ruch Chorzow3-0Stal Rzeszow
- Stal Rzeszow0-2Ruch Chorzow
- Ruch Chorzow1-1Stal Rzeszow
- Ruch Chorzow2-0Stal Rzeszow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Rzeszow 1439 · Ruch Chorzow 1506
| Stal Rzeszow | Draw | Ruch Chorzow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruch Chorzow (rating 1439 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Ruch Chorzow: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Rzeszow | Ruch Chorzow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Rzeszow 0–1–5 Ruch Chorzow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 20/08/25 Poland I Liga | Ruch Chorzow | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 27/04/25 Poland I Liga | Ruch Chorzow | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 21/10/24 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ruch Chorzow |
| 08/07/23 Europe Friendlies | Ruch Chorzow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 26/02/23 Poland I Liga | Ruch Chorzow | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Stal Mielec | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | LKS Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Warta Poznan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Odra Opole | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Polonia Bytom | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 14 | Ruch Chorzow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Unia Skierniewice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 17 | Stal Rzeszow | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Rukh Lviv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Korona Kielce Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Gornik Leczna Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
Ruch Chorzow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | MFK Karvina Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ruch Chorzow win (48%). Probabilities: Stal Rzeszow 26%, draw 25%, Ruch Chorzow 48%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Stal Rzeszow 1.23 · Ruch Chorzow 1.73), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Rzeszow vs Ruch Chorzow?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.