Football · Poland I Liga · 22/08, 15:30

Prediction: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Odra Opole

Team pages: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala · Odra Opole

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.53

Odra Opole1.03

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Draw Odra Opole

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDDWDD

Odra Opole 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1–2–3 Odra Opole (6 last)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1-2Odra Opole
Odra Opole1-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-1Odra Opole
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-0Odra Opole
Odra Opole1-2Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Odra Opole1-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1555 · Odra Opole 1444

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Draw	Odra Opole
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (rating 1555 vs 1444).
H2H favours Odra Opole: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Odra Opole
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.41
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +11’	1.85	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:48 +7’	2.07	3.37	3.48
00:16 +1’	2.01▼	3.41▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1–2–3 Odra Opole

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/24 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-2 HT 0-1	Odra Opole
12/08/23 Poland I Liga	Odra Opole	1-0 HT 0-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
01/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-1 HT 0-0	Odra Opole
12/02/23 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-0 HT 0-0	Odra Opole
25/07/22 Poland I Liga	Odra Opole	1-2 HT 0-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
26/11/21 Poland I Liga	Odra Opole	1-1 HT 0-1	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4	3	1	0	6	1	10
2	Arka Gdynia	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
3	Stal Mielec	4	2	2	0	11	7	8
4	Chrobry Glogow	4	2	1	1	8	4	7
5	Miedz Legnica	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
6	Polonia Warsaw	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	LKS Lodz	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Warta Poznan	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
9	Termalica BB Nieciecza	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	Odra Opole	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	4	0	4	0	7	7	4
13	Polonia Bytom	4	1	1	2	9	12	4
14	Ruch Chorzow	4	1	1	2	2	5	4
15	Puszcza Niepolomice	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
16	Unia Skierniewice	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
17	Stal Rzeszow	4	0	2	2	3	11	2
18	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	1	3	2	9	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Odra Opole
Chrobry Glogow	1-1 D	1-0 W
Banik Ostrava B	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

WWDWDDDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
05/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland Cup	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-3	3-3	6	5	D
27/07	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
18/07	Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
07/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
04/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
06/06	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	1-0	3-1	7	7	W
02/06	Slask Wroclaw II Poland League II Play-Offs	0-1	2-1	8	4	W

Odra Opole

LDLDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
08/08	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
03/08	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	1-0	1-0	13	2	W
24/07	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
18/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
15/07	Maccabi Netanya Europe Friendlies	0-3	2-4	2	5	L
11/07	Slask Wroclaw Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
04/07	GKS Tychy 71 Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/07	Pardubice Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
28/06	CSKA Sofia Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-3	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Odra Opole?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win (48%). Probabilities: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 48%, draw 27%, Odra Opole 25%.

How many goals are expected in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Odra Opole?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.53 · Odra Opole 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Odra Opole?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.