Football · Poland I Liga · 23/08, 17:00

Prediction: Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia Skierniewice

Team pages: Puszcza Niepolomice · Unia Skierniewice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Puszcza Niepolomice1.51
Unia Skierniewice1.29
1X2
41% 28% 31%
Puszcza Niepolomice Draw Unia Skierniewice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puszcza Niepolomice 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Unia Skierniewice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDWLLDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puszcza Niepolomice 1475 · Unia Skierniewice 1460
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawUnia Skierniewice
Our model41%27%31%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Puszcza NiepolomiceUnia Skierniewice
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.71.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.20.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.83.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.9 / 0.3

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4310 6110
2 Arka Gdynia 4301 829
3 Stal Mielec 4220 1178
4 Chrobry Glogow 4211 847
5 Miedz Legnica 4211 627
6 Polonia Warsaw 4211 537
7 LKS Lodz 4211 657
8 Warta Poznan 4202 986
9 Termalica BB Nieciecza 4202 656
10 Odra Opole 4202 556
11 MKP Pogon Siedlce 4121 555
12 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 4040 774
13 Polonia Bytom 4112 9124
14 Ruch Chorzow 4112 254
15 Puszcza Niepolomice 4103 363
16 Unia Skierniewice 4103 483
17 Stal Rzeszow 4022 3112
18 Lechia Gdansk 4013 291

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuszcza NiepolomiceUnia Skierniewice
Arka Gdynia 0-3 L 2-0 W
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0-1 L 0-1 L
Polonia Warsaw 0-1 L 1-3 L
Stal Mielec 4-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Puszcza Niepolomice (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puszcza Niepolomice

LWLWLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Arka Gdynia
Poland I Liga
0-3 0-3 54 L
08/08 Odra Opole
Poland I Liga
2-1 3-1 85 W
02/08 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Poland I Liga
0-1 0-1 15 L
26/07 Polonia Warsaw
Poland I Liga
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/07 JKS Jaroslaw
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 73 W
19/07 Widzew Lodz
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 L
11/07 Stal Mielec
Europe Friendlies
0-1 4-1 20 W
01/07 Wisla Krakow
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-4 11 L
27/06 Star Starachowice
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-0 32 W
24/06 Gornik Zabrze
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-3 L

Unia Skierniewice

LWLDWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Miedz Legnica
Poland I Liga
0-1 0-3 63 L
10/08 Arka Gdynia
Poland I Liga
2-0 2-0 78 W
05/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland Cup
0-1 1-1 125 D
01/08 Polonia Warsaw
Poland I Liga
1-0 1-3 95 L
26/07 Stal Mielec
Poland I Liga
0-1 1-2 24 L
18/07 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-0 111 W
11/07 LKS Lodz
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-2 D
04/07 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 14 L
27/06 MKP Pogon Siedlce
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-0 W
30/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
1-2 1-2 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia Skierniewice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puszcza Niepolomice win (41%). Probabilities: Puszcza Niepolomice 41%, draw 28%, Unia Skierniewice 31%.

How many goals are expected in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia Skierniewice?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Puszcza Niepolomice 1.51 · Unia Skierniewice 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia Skierniewice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.