Football · Poland I Liga · 14/08, 18:00
Prediction: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Rzeszow
Team pages: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Stal Rzeszow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.95
Stal Rzeszow1
1X2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw
Stal Rzeszow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Stal Rzeszow
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1–4
Stal Rzeszow
(5 last)
- Stal Rzeszow1-0Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
- Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki2-1Stal Rzeszow
- Stal Rzeszow1-0Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
- Stal Rzeszow3-1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
- Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1-3Stal Rzeszow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki (rating 1534 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Stal Rzeszow: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Stal Rzeszow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1–0–4 Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/25 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
| 19/07/25 Poland I Liga | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 27/07/22 Poland Cup | Stal Rzeszow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
| 27/11/21 Poland II Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
| 07/08/21 Poland II Liga | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Stal Mielec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Miedz Legnica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Warta Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Stal Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Legia Warsaw Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 07/07 | AS Trencin Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Unia Skierniewice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Wisla Plock Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Rukh Lviv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Korona Kielce Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Gornik Leczna Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Rzeszow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win (59%). Probabilities: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 59%, draw 24%, Stal Rzeszow 18%.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Rzeszow?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1.95 · Stal Rzeszow 1), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Stal Rzeszow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.